Air Transport Services Stock Analysis

ATSG Stock  USD 22.34  0.01  0.04%   
Air Transport Services is overvalued with Real Value of 18.68 and Target Price of 22.5. The main objective of Air Transport stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Air Transport Services is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Air Transport's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Air Transport stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Air Transport's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Transport Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Air Stock Analysis Notes

About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Transport Services had not issued any dividends in recent years. Air Transport Services Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides aircraft leasing and air cargo transportation and related services in the United States and internationally. Air Transport Services Group, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is based in Wilmington, Ohio. Air Transport operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5280 people. For more info on Air Transport Services please contact Joseph Hete at 937 382 5591 or go to https://www.atsginc.com.

Air Transport Quarterly Total Revenue

516.79 Million

Air Transport Services Investment Alerts

Air Transport is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: FedEx Gears Up to Release Q3 Earnings Whats in the Offing

Air Transport Services Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Air Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Air Transport's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-07
2017-06-300.190.210.0210 
2015-08-05
2015-06-300.140.160.0214 
2015-03-05
2014-12-310.150.170.0213 
View All Earnings Estimates

Air Transport Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Air Transport's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Air Transport's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Air Transport's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Air Transport's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Air Transport Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Air Transport stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Airlines Idea
Airlines
Major domestic and international airlines

Air Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
First Trust Capital Management L.p.2024-12-31
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Anchor Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors2024-12-31
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
867.4 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-12-31
815.4 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-12-31
760.7 K
Pentwater Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
682 K
Cnh Partners, Llc2024-12-31
673 K
Amazon.com Inc2024-12-31
12.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.9 M
Note, although Air Transport's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.47 B.

Air Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.01 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.09 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.09.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Management Efficiency

Air Transport Services has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0212 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0212 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0192 %, meaning that it created $0.0192 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Air Transport's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Air Transport manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Air Transport's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.01. The Air Transport's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.04. At this time, Air Transport's Other Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Air Transport's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 3.7 B, while Total Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 222.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 22.82  23.96 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.64  16.42 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.63  4.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.96  1.41 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.63  4.10 
Price Fair Value 0.96  1.41 
Enterprise Value778.5 M692 M
Leadership at Air Transport emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Operating Margin
0.0948
Profit Margin
0.014
Beta
0.796
Return On Assets
0.0212
Return On Equity
0.0192

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of March, Air Transport shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1432, mean deviation of 0.0944, and Coefficient Of Variation of 424.39. Air Transport Services technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Air Transport Services variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Air Transport Services is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 22.34 per share. Given that Air Transport has treynor ratio of 0.9866, we suggest you to validate Air Transport Services's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Air Transport Services Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Air Transport middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Air Transport Services. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Air Transport Services Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Air Transport insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Air Transport's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Air Transport insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Johns Raymond E Jr over two weeks ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Johns Raymond E Jr of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Joseph Hete over two weeks ago
Acquisition by Joseph Hete of 101000 shares of Air Transport at 22.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Matthew Fedders over three weeks ago
Disposition of 382 shares by Matthew Fedders of Air Transport at 17.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Campbell Phyllis J over three weeks ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Campbell Phyllis J of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Johns Raymond E Jr over two months ago
Disposition of 5293 shares by Johns Raymond E Jr of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Quint Turner over two months ago
Disposition of 4762 shares by Quint Turner of Air Transport at 21.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Quint Turner over three months ago
Disposition of 16416 shares by Quint Turner of Air Transport at 21.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Dominick over three months ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Jeffrey Dominick of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Berger over three months ago
Acquisition by Michael Berger of 18000 shares of Air Transport at 20.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Payne W Joseph over six months ago
Acquisition by Payne W Joseph of 2000 shares of Air Transport at 14.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
France Cagney Todd over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by France Cagney Todd of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominick Jeffrey A. over six months ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Dominick Jeffrey A. of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3

Air Transport Outstanding Bonds

Air Transport issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Air Transport Services uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Air bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Air Transport Services has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Air Transport Predictive Daily Indicators

Air Transport intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Air Transport stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Air Transport Corporate Filings

F4
7th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
10th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
7th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
27th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
7th of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Air Transport Forecast Models

Air Transport's time-series forecasting models are one of many Air Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Air Transport's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Air Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Air Transport prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Air Transport. By using and applying Air Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Air entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.03 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.18  0.17 

Current Air Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Air analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Air analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.5Hold4Odds
Air Transport Services current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Air analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Air stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Air Transport Services, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Air conference calls.
Air Analyst Advice Details

Air Stock Analysis Indicators

Air Transport Services stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Air Transport stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Air Transport shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Air Transport stock analysis, traders can identify Air Transport position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow27.1 M
Long Term Debt1.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.5 B
Tax Provision14.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.769
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments60.6 M
Cash60.6 M
Accounts Payable236.9 M
Net Debt-6 M
50 Day M A22.2596
Total Current Liabilities359.2 M
Other Operating Expenses1.8 B
Non Current Assets Total3.5 B
Forward Price Earnings12.4069
Non Currrent Assets Other268.8 M
Stock Based Compensation9.7 M

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