Air Transport Services Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ATSG Stock

USD 21.96 0.03 0.14%

Air Transport's odds of distress is under 29% at the present time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Air Transport's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Air Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Air balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Air Transport Piotroski F Score and Air Transport Altman Z Score analysis.

The current Market Cap is estimated to decrease to about 467.1 M

Air Transport Services Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Air Transport's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Air Transport Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 29%

Most of Air Transport's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Air Transport Services is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Air Transport probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Air Transport odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Air Transport Services financial health.

Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Transport. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Transport listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.77)

Earnings Share

(0.01)

Revenue Per Share

30.203

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.1)

Return On Assets

0.0149

The market value of Air Transport Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Transport's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Transport's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Transport's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Transport's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Total Liab	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Debt	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.96	0.98	0.9	0.98	0.97	0.39	0.98	0.98	0.94	0.88	0.63	0.85	0.61	0.95	0.36	0.91	0.77	-0.82	0.06	0.97	0.0	0.76
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.88	0.9	0.95	0.89	0.49	0.94	0.9	0.93	0.88	0.58	0.73	0.56	0.85	0.5	0.82	0.86	-0.78	-0.02	0.95	0.03	0.81
Total Liab	0.98	0.88		0.86	0.96	0.98	0.3	0.96	0.99	0.9	0.83	0.64	0.89	0.62	0.97	0.25	0.92	0.67	-0.8	0.12	0.94	-0.01	0.68
Retained Earnings	0.9	0.9	0.86		0.92	0.79	0.13	0.95	0.82	0.83	0.75	0.69	0.63	0.36	0.85	0.61	0.73	0.84	-0.73	0.12	0.91	0.01	0.84
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.95	0.96	0.92		0.94	0.35	0.99	0.95	0.93	0.83	0.7	0.77	0.57	0.91	0.45	0.86	0.77	-0.83	0.15	0.95	-0.08	0.75
Long Term Debt	0.97	0.89	0.98	0.79	0.94		0.44	0.93	0.99	0.92	0.84	0.61	0.91	0.67	0.95	0.2	0.94	0.65	-0.79	0.12	0.93	-0.03	0.63
Common Stock	0.39	0.49	0.3	0.13	0.35	0.44		0.29	0.43	0.53	0.51	0.1	0.31	0.23	0.21	0.21	0.35	0.38	-0.36	-0.1	0.4	0.09	0.34
Property Plant Equipment	0.98	0.94	0.96	0.95	0.99	0.93	0.29		0.94	0.91	0.79	0.76	0.75	0.5	0.92	0.49	0.84	0.78	-0.81	0.2	0.95	-0.06	0.78
Net Debt	0.98	0.9	0.99	0.82	0.95	0.99	0.43	0.94		0.92	0.85	0.63	0.9	0.63	0.95	0.26	0.93	0.68	-0.8	0.11	0.94	0.0	0.69
Net Receivables	0.94	0.93	0.9	0.83	0.93	0.92	0.53	0.91	0.92		0.92	0.53	0.79	0.53	0.84	0.38	0.88	0.76	-0.78	-0.09	0.94	0.23	0.77
Total Current Assets	0.88	0.88	0.83	0.75	0.83	0.84	0.51	0.79	0.85	0.92		0.27	0.82	0.6	0.81	0.24	0.91	0.82	-0.67	-0.33	0.91	0.32	0.69
Short Term Debt	0.63	0.58	0.64	0.69	0.7	0.61	0.1	0.76	0.63	0.53	0.27		0.31	0.14	0.57	0.61	0.42	0.46	-0.62	0.73	0.62	-0.39	0.51
Intangible Assets	0.85	0.73	0.89	0.63	0.77	0.91	0.31	0.75	0.9	0.79	0.82	0.31		0.72	0.92	-0.15	0.94	0.5	-0.62	-0.12	0.81	0.14	0.46
Current Deferred Revenue	0.61	0.56	0.62	0.36	0.57	0.67	0.23	0.5	0.63	0.53	0.6	0.14	0.72		0.63	-0.32	0.75	0.31	-0.59	-0.16	0.56	-0.15	0.07
Good Will	0.95	0.85	0.97	0.85	0.91	0.95	0.21	0.92	0.95	0.84	0.81	0.57	0.92	0.63		0.16	0.92	0.67	-0.7	0.07	0.92	0.01	0.64
Net Tangible Assets	0.36	0.5	0.25	0.61	0.45	0.2	0.21	0.49	0.26	0.38	0.24	0.61	-0.15	-0.32	0.16		0.05	0.63	-0.35	0.27	0.42	-0.04	0.73
Long Term Debt Total	0.91	0.82	0.92	0.73	0.86	0.94	0.35	0.84	0.93	0.88	0.91	0.42	0.94	0.75	0.92	0.05		0.69	-0.72	-0.08	0.92	0.12	0.52
Capital Surpluse	0.77	0.86	0.67	0.84	0.77	0.65	0.38	0.78	0.68	0.76	0.82	0.46	0.5	0.31	0.67	0.63	0.69		-0.57	-0.08	0.87	0.11	0.77
Long Term Investments	-0.82	-0.78	-0.8	-0.73	-0.83	-0.79	-0.36	-0.81	-0.8	-0.78	-0.67	-0.62	-0.62	-0.59	-0.7	-0.35	-0.72	-0.57		-0.19	-0.76	0.13	-0.58
Short Long Term Debt	0.06	-0.02	0.12	0.12	0.15	0.12	-0.1	0.2	0.11	-0.09	-0.33	0.73	-0.12	-0.16	0.07	0.27	-0.08	-0.08	-0.19		0.03	-0.76	-0.09
Net Invested Capital	0.97	0.95	0.94	0.91	0.95	0.93	0.4	0.95	0.94	0.94	0.91	0.62	0.81	0.56	0.92	0.42	0.92	0.87	-0.76	0.03		0.09	0.76
Net Working Capital	0.0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.06	0.0	0.23	0.32	-0.39	0.14	-0.15	0.01	-0.04	0.12	0.11	0.13	-0.76	0.09		0.31
Capital Stock	0.76	0.81	0.68	0.84	0.75	0.63	0.34	0.78	0.69	0.77	0.69	0.51	0.46	0.07	0.64	0.73	0.52	0.77	-0.58	-0.09	0.76	0.31

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.008355	0.0708	0.0645	0.0553	0.0155	0.0163
Net Debt	1.3B	1.5B	1.3B	1.5B	1.8B	1.9B
Total Current Liabilities	229.1M	302.0M	312.6M	307.5M	400.2M	207.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.8B	1.8B	1.6B	1.9B	2.1B	2.2B
Total Assets	2.5B	3.0B	3.3B	3.6B	3.9B	4.1B
Total Current Assets	259.2M	272.7M	352.8M	418.5M	345.7M	215.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	298.0M	512.3M	583.6M	472.1M	654.1M	686.8M

	Return On Equity	-0.002
	Return On Asset	0.0149
	Profit Margin	(0) %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	3.03 B
	Shares Outstanding	65.76 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	22.20 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	81.38 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.62 M
	Price To Earning	11.64 X
	Price To Book	0.98 X
	Price To Sales	0.74 X
	Revenue	2.07 B
	Gross Profit	836.88 M
	EBITDA	507.65 M
	Net Income	59.75 M
	Cash And Equivalents	54.49 M
	Cash Per Share	0.75 X
	Total Debt	1.82 B
	Debt To Equity	0.98 %
	Current Ratio	1.22 X
	Book Value Per Share	22.48 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	654.08 M
	Short Ratio	1.69 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.01) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	56.16 X
	Target Price	22.5
	Number Of Employees	5.09 K
	Beta	0.81
	Market Capitalization	1.44 B
	Total Asset	3.88 B
	Retained Earnings	589.21 M
	Working Capital	(54.49 M)
	Current Asset	101.31 M
	Current Liabilities	126.68 M
	Net Asset	3.88 B

V	Visa Class A
GOOG	Alphabet Inc Class C
GOOG	Alphabet Inc Class C
MSFT	Microsoft
GM	General Motors

Air Transport Services Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Air Transport Services Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Air Transport Probability Of Bankruptcy

Air Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Air Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Air Transport Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Air Transport ESG Sustainability

Air Fundamentals

About Air Transport Fundamental Analysis

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY