Air Transport Valuation

ATSG Stock  USD 21.99  0.02  0.09%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Air Transport Services shows a prevailing Real Value of $25.88 per share. The current price of the firm is $21.99. Our model approximates the value of Air Transport Services from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.002, current valuation of 3.02 B, and insignificant Profit Margin as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Air Transport's valuation include:
Price Book
0.9831
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.2484
Price Sales
0.7363
Forward PE
19.084
Undervalued
Today
21.99
Please note that Air Transport's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Air Transport Services is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Air Transport's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Air stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Air Transport Services. Since Air Transport is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Air Stock. However, Air Transport's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.99 Real  25.88 Target  27.14 Hype  21.98 Naive  20.09
The real value of Air Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Air Transport Services Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Air Transport's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Air Transport's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
25.88
Real Value
29.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Air Transport Services helps investors to forecast how Air stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Air Transport more accurately as focusing exclusively on Air Transport's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.180.200.22
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.9821.9825.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.0820.0924.09
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.7027.1430.13
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Air Transport Services, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Air Transport Cash

34.47 Million

Air Valuation Trend

Comparing Air Transport's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Air Transport Services uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Air Revenue by Product

Air Transport Total Value Analysis

Air Transport Services is presently projected to have valuation of 3.02 B with market capitalization of 1.44 B, debt of 1.82 B, and cash on hands of 54.49 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Air Transport fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.02 B
1.44 B
1.82 B
54.49 M

Air Transport Investor Information

About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Transport Services recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Air Transport's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Air Transport Services may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities686.8 M654.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Air Transport Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Air Transport has an asset utilization ratio of 53.34 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Air Transport Services is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Air Transport Ownership Allocation

Air Transport holds a total of 65.76 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Air Transport Services outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Air Transport Services to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Air Transport. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Air Transport Services as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly two million three hundred fifty-four thousand two hundred four invesors are currently shorting Air Transport expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Air Transport Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.07 B. Net Income was 59.75 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 836.88 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Air Transport's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Air Transport and how it compares across the competition.

About Air Transport Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Air Transport's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Air Transport. We calculate exposure to Air Transport's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Air Transport's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit199.8 M189.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.09 

Air Transport Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Air Transport does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.769
Forward Price Earnings19.084

Air Transport Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Air Transport Services and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Air we look at many different elements of the entity such as Air's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Air Transport, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Air Transport's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Air Transport's worth.

Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis

When running Air Transport's price analysis, check to measure Air Transport's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Transport is operating at the current time. Most of Air Transport's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Transport's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Transport's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Transport to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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