Is Air Transport Stock a Good Investment?

Air Transport Investment Advice

  ATSG
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Air Transport Services stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Air Transport Services. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Air Transport in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Air Transport's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Air Transport's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Air Transport navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact Air Transport's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Air Transport's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Air Transport is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Air Transport pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Air Transport's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Air Transport Services stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Air Transport Services is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Air Transport. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Air Transport is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Transport Services fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Air Transport Services has a price to earning of 11.64 X, we suggest you to validate Air Transport Services market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Air Transport Stock

Researching Air Transport's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Transport Services had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Air Transport is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Air Transport's research are outlined below:
Air Transport is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: FedEx Gears Up To Release Q3 Earnings Whats In The Offing

Air Transport Quarterly Good Will

467.32 Million

Air Transport uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Air Transport Services. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Air Transport's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Air Transport's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Air Transport's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-07
2017-06-300.190.210.0210 
2015-08-05
2015-06-300.140.160.0214 
2015-03-05
2014-12-310.150.170.0213 
2014-08-05
2014-06-300.120.140.0216 
2012-05-10
2012-03-310.080.10.0225 
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.170.190.0211 
2006-08-09
2006-06-300.130.11-0.0215 
2006-05-09
2006-03-310.120.140.0216 

Know Air Transport's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Transport is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Transport Services backward and forwards among themselves. Air Transport's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Transport's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
First Trust Capital Management L.p.2024-12-31
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Anchor Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors2024-12-31
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
867.4 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-12-31
815.4 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-12-31
760.7 K
Pentwater Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
682 K
Cnh Partners, Llc2024-12-31
673 K
Amazon.com Inc2024-12-31
12.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.9 M
Note, although Air Transport's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air Transport's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.47 B.

Market Cap

467.08 Million

Air Transport's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.01 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.09 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.09.
Determining Air Transport's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Air Transport is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Air Transport's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Air Transport's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Air Transport's management efficiency

Air Transport Services has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0212 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0212 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0192 %, meaning that it created $0.0192 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Air Transport's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Air Transport manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Air Transport's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.01. The Air Transport's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.04. At this time, Air Transport's Other Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Air Transport's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 3.7 B, while Total Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 222.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 22.82  23.96 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.64  16.42 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.63  4.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.96  1.41 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.63  4.10 
Price Fair Value 0.96  1.41 
Enterprise Value778.5 M692 M
Leadership at Air Transport emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Beta
0.796

Basic technical analysis of Air Stock

As of the 26th of March, Air Transport shows the Mean Deviation of 0.0994, risk adjusted performance of 0.1005, and Coefficient Of Variation of 554.87. Air Transport Services technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Air Transport Services variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Air Transport Services is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 22.34 per share. Given that Air Transport has treynor ratio of 0.7319, we suggest you to validate Air Transport Services's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Air Transport's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Air Transport insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Air Transport's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Air Transport insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Johns Raymond E Jr over two weeks ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Johns Raymond E Jr of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Joseph Hete over two weeks ago
Acquisition by Joseph Hete of 101000 shares of Air Transport at 22.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Matthew Fedders over three weeks ago
Disposition of 382 shares by Matthew Fedders of Air Transport at 17.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Campbell Phyllis J over three weeks ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Campbell Phyllis J of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Johns Raymond E Jr over two months ago
Disposition of 5293 shares by Johns Raymond E Jr of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Quint Turner over two months ago
Disposition of 4762 shares by Quint Turner of Air Transport at 21.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Quint Turner over three months ago
Disposition of 16416 shares by Quint Turner of Air Transport at 21.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Dominick over three months ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Jeffrey Dominick of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Berger over three months ago
Acquisition by Michael Berger of 18000 shares of Air Transport at 20.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Payne W Joseph over six months ago
Acquisition by Payne W Joseph of 2000 shares of Air Transport at 14.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
France Cagney Todd over six months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by France Cagney Todd of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominick Jeffrey A. over six months ago
Disposition of 9023 shares by Dominick Jeffrey A. of Air Transport subject to Rule 16b-3

Air Transport's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Air Transport issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Air Transport Services uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Air bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Air Transport Services has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Air Transport's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Air Transport's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Air Transport's intraday indicators

Air Transport intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Air Transport stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Air Transport Corporate Filings

F4
7th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
7th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Air Transport time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Air Transport's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Air Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Air Transport that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Air media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Air internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Air data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Air Transport news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Air Transport relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Air Transport's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Air Transport alpha.

Air Transport Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Air Transport can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Air Transport Services Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Air Transport's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Air. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Air can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Air Transport Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Air Transport's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Air Transport and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Air Transport news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Air Transport.

Air Transport Corporate Management

Joseph JDChief SecretaryProfile
Cagney FranceChief OfficerProfile
Edward IIIChief OfficerProfile
Quint TurnerChief OfficerProfile
Paul ChaseChief OfficerProfile

Already Invested in Air Transport Services?

The danger of trading Air Transport Services is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Air Transport is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Air Transport. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Air Transport Services is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Air Transport Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Transport's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Transport's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Transport Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
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Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Transport. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Transport listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.77)
Earnings Share
0.4
Revenue Per Share
30.172
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Return On Assets
0.0212
The market value of Air Transport Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Transport's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Transport's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Transport's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Transport's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Air Transport's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Air Transport is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Transport's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.