Radian Valuation

RDN Stock  USD 31.42  0.14  0.44%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Radian Group holds a recent Real Value of $34.08 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $31.42. Our model determines the value of Radian Group from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 145.06 M, operating margin of 0.76 %, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Radian's valuation include:
Price Book
0.9882
Enterprise Value
6.9 B
Price Sales
3.5482
Forward PE
8.0775
Trailing PE
8.051
Undervalued
Today
31.42
Please note that Radian's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Radian Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Radian's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Radian is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Radian Stock. However, Radian's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  31.42 Real  34.08 Target  36.29 Hype  31.42 Naive  31.1
The intrinsic value of Radian's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Radian's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
34.08
Real Value
35.37
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Radian Group helps investors to forecast how Radian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Radian more accurately as focusing exclusively on Radian's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.910.971.01
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.1331.4232.71
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.620.640.65
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.0236.2940.28
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Radian's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Radian's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Radian's closest peers.

Radian Cash

527.76 Million

Radian Valuation Trend

Knowing Radian's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Radian's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Radian Revenue by Product

Radian Total Value Analysis

Radian Group is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 6.86 B with market capitalization of 4.58 B, debt of 703.53 M, and cash on hands of 501.34 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Radian fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.86 B
4.58 B
703.53 M
501.34 M

Radian Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Radian Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of June 2001. Based on the analysis of Radian's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Radian Group is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate chance of reporting better financial numbers in April.

Radian Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Radian has an asset utilization ratio of 14.89 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.15 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Radian Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Radian Ownership Allocation

The majority of Radian Group outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Radian Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Radian. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Radian Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Radian Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.29 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 604.44 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.23 B.

Radian Past Distributions to stockholders

About Radian Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Radian Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Radian Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Radian's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Radian's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Radian. We calculate exposure to Radian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Radian's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.3 B1.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.60  0.63 
Operating Profit Margin 0.82  0.86 
Net Profit Margin 0.47  0.49 
Gross Profit Margin 0.97  1.02 
Radian's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Radian's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Radian can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Radian represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Radian, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Radian Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 19th of March 2025, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 159.6 M. Also, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.03. As of the 19th of March 2025, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about 4.9 B. Also, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 4.6 B
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid152 M159.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.25  0.26 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.59  1.67 
There are various types of dividends Radian can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Radian shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Radian Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Radian pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Radian by the value of the dividends paid out.

Radian Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.069
Forward Price Earnings8.0775

Radian Current Valuation Indicators

Radian's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Radian's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Radian, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Radian's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Radian's worth.
When determining whether Radian Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Radian's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Radian Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Radian Group Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Radian Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Radian. If investors know Radian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Radian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.069
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
3.92
Revenue Per Share
8.463
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Radian Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Radian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Radian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Radian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Radian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Radian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Radian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Radian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Radian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.