Farmers National Banc Stock Market Value
| FMNB Stock | USD 13.27 0.32 2.47% |
| Symbol | Farmers |
Farmers National Banc Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmers National. If investors know Farmers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmers National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 1.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Farmers National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmers National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmers National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmers National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmers National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Farmers National 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Farmers National's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Farmers National.
| 12/24/2024 |
| 03/24/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Farmers National on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Farmers National Banc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Farmers National over 90 days. Farmers National is related to or competes with First Business, Old Point, Parke Bancorp, Independent Bank, ST Bancorp, Preferred Bank, and LINKBANCORP. Farmers National Banc Corp., a financial holding company, operates in the banking, trust, retirement consulting, insuran... More
Farmers National Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Farmers National's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Farmers National Banc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.6 |
Farmers National Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Farmers National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Farmers National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Farmers National historical prices to predict the future Farmers National's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.27) |
Farmers National Banc Backtested Returns
Farmers National Banc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0575, which denotes the company had a -0.0575 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Farmers National Banc exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Farmers National's Standard Deviation of 1.72, mean deviation of 1.26, and Variance of 2.95 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Farmers National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Farmers National is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Farmers National Banc has a negative expected return of -0.0888%. Please make sure to confirm Farmers National's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Farmers National Banc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.41 |
Modest reverse predictability
Farmers National Banc has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Farmers National time series from 24th of December 2024 to 7th of February 2025 and 7th of February 2025 to 24th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Farmers National Banc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Farmers National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.24 |
Farmers National Banc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Farmers National stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Farmers National's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Farmers National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Farmers National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Farmers National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Farmers National stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Farmers National stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Farmers National stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Farmers National Lagged Returns
When evaluating Farmers National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Farmers National stock have on its future price. Farmers National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Farmers National autocorrelation shows the relationship between Farmers National stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Farmers National Banc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Farmers National Correlation, Farmers National Volatility and Farmers National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Farmers National. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Farmers National technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.