Farmers National Banc Stock Price Prediction
| FMNB Stock | USD 14.49 0.14 0.98% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4533 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5533 | Wall Street Target Price 16 |
Using Farmers National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmers National Banc from the perspective of Farmers National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Farmers National using Farmers National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Farmers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Farmers National's stock price.
Farmers National Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Farmers National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Farmers National Banc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Farmers National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Farmers National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Farmers National's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmers National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Farmers National after-hype prediction price | USD 14.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Farmers contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Farmers National Banc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0844% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Farmers National trading at USD 14.49, that is roughly USD 0.0122 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Farmers National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Farmers National Banc options at the current volatility level of 1.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Farmers |
Farmers National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmers National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmers National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmers National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmers National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmers National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmers National's historical news coverage. Farmers National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.80 and 16.10, respectively. We have considered Farmers National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmers National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmers National Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmers National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmers National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmers National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.65 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.49 | 14.45 | 0.28 |
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Farmers National Hype Timeline
Farmers National Banc is currently traded for 14.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Farmers is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Farmers National is about 12375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.49. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmers National Banc last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. The entity had 102:100 split on the 9th of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Farmers National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Farmers National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmers National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmers National's future price movements. Getting to know how Farmers National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmers National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Farmers National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Farmers National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Farmers National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmers National Banc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers National based on analysis of Farmers National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmers National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmers National's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.046 | 0.0472 | 0.0542 | 0.0515 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.01 | 3.16 | 2.84 | 2.67 |
Story Coverage note for Farmers National
The number of cover stories for Farmers National depends on current market conditions and Farmers National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmers National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmers National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Farmers National Short Properties
Farmers National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmers National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmers National Banc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmers National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Farmers Stock analysis
When running Farmers National's price analysis, check to measure Farmers National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers National is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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