Farmers National Banc Stock Beneish M Score

FMNB Stock  USD 14.49  0.14  0.98%   
This module uses fundamental data of Farmers National to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Farmers National M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Farmers National Piotroski F Score and Farmers National Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Farmers National's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 500.8 M, whereas Net Debt To EBITDA is forecasted to decline to 5.15. At present, Farmers National's Free Cash Flow Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Capex To Depreciation is expected to grow to 0.99, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.67.
At this time, it appears that Farmers National Banc is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Farmers National's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Farmers National executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Farmers National's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.82
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

N/A

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.87

Focus

Farmers National Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Farmers National's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Revenue179 M170.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets6.1 B5.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets113.2 M119.2 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment47.3 M45 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization7.7 M7.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative60.2 M57.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities255.6 M355 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total4.5 B4.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt428.7 M408.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.3 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income96.1 M91.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities75.2 M71.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.5 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile

Farmers National Banc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Farmers National's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Farmers National in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Farmers National's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Farmers National Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

7.69 Million

At present, Farmers National's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Farmers National Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Farmers National. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Total Revenue123.3M141.3M158.9M213.3M170.5M179.0M
Total Assets3.1B4.1B4.1B5.1B5.8B6.1B
Total Current Assets830.2M1.5B1.3B103.7M119.2M113.2M
Net Debt(175.7M)(25.0M)107.7M414.8M477.0M500.8M
Short Term Debt2.5M833K95M355M408.3M428.7M
Long Term Debt76.4M87.8M88.2M1.1B1.3B1.3B
Operating Income50.3M62.1M93.7M58.7M91.5M96.1M
Investments(141.5M)(508.9M)(201.0M)77.9M70.1M73.6M

Farmers National ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Farmers National's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Farmers National's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Farmers National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Farmers National Banc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Farmers National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers National Banc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Farmers National Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Farmers National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Farmers National Banc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Farmers National Banc Stock:
Check out Farmers National Piotroski F Score and Farmers National Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmers National. If investors know Farmers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmers National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
0.68
Earnings Share
1.22
Revenue Per Share
4.34
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Farmers National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmers National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmers National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmers National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmers National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.