Lendingclub Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LC Stock | USD 16.64 0.15 0.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.81 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4634 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8286 | Wall Street Target Price 15.6 |
Using LendingClub Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LendingClub Corp from the perspective of LendingClub Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LendingClub Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LendingClub because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LendingClub Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 16.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LendingClub |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LendingClub Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LendingClub Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LendingClub Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LendingClub Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LendingClub Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LendingClub Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LendingClub Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LendingClub Corp's historical news coverage. LendingClub Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.40 and 19.58, respectively. We have considered LendingClub Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LendingClub Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LendingClub Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
LendingClub Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LendingClub Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LendingClub Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LendingClub Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 3.09 | 0.15 | 0.51 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.64 | 16.49 | 0.90 |
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LendingClub Corp Hype Timeline
As of December 1, 2024 LendingClub Corp is listed for 16.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.51. LendingClub is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on LendingClub Corp is about 355.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.13. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LendingClub Corp last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2019. The entity had 1:5 split on the 8th of July 2019. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out LendingClub Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LendingClub Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LendingClub Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LendingClub Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how LendingClub Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LendingClub Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NAVI | Navient Corp | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.95 | (3.50) | 13.67 | |
| GDOT | Green Dot | (1.60) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.15 | (5.39) | 30.98 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | 0.79 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.12 | (2.89) | 7.11 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | (3.94) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.52 | (2.42) | 9.46 | |
| WU | Western Union Co | (0.14) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.84 | (2.02) | 5.82 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 3.71 | (2.59) | 15.03 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.72 | (2.53) | 7.31 | |
| OPRT | Oportun Financial Corp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 3.07 | 0.09 | 9.49 | (5.05) | 16.16 | |
| DFS | Discover Financial Services | (3.00) | 12 per month | 1.45 | 0.11 | 4.04 | (2.77) | 24.36 | |
| ALLY | Ally Financial | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.84 | (2.91) | 19.33 | |
| SYF-PA | Synchrony Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | (0.04) | 2.02 | (1.36) | 4.65 | |
| BFH | Bread Financial Holdings | (1.46) | 10 per month | 2.92 | (0.01) | 3.78 | (4.01) | 22.97 |
LendingClub Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LendingClub price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LendingClub using various technical indicators. When you analyze LendingClub charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LendingClub Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LendingClub Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LendingClub Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LendingClub Corp based on analysis of LendingClub Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LendingClub Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LendingClub Corp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0473 | 0.0421 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 1.04 |
Story Coverage note for LendingClub Corp
The number of cover stories for LendingClub Corp depends on current market conditions and LendingClub Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LendingClub Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LendingClub Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
LendingClub Corp Short Properties
LendingClub Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when LendingClub Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LendingClub Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LendingClub Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LendingClub Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Complementary Tools for LendingClub Stock analysis
When running LendingClub Corp's price analysis, check to measure LendingClub Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LendingClub Corp is operating at the current time. Most of LendingClub Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LendingClub Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LendingClub Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LendingClub Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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