Bread Financial Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BFH Stock | USD 50.00 0.22 0.44% |
Momentum 18
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5412 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.9492 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.556 | Wall Street Target Price 69.0714 |
Using Bread Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bread Financial Holdings from the perspective of Bread Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bread Financial using Bread Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bread using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bread Financial's stock price.
Bread Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Bread Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bread. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bread Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 53.6475 | Short Percent 0.0867 | Short Ratio 4.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 57.1556 |
Bread Financial Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bread Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bread. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bread can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bread Financial Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bread Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bread Financial.
Bread Financial Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Bread Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bread Financial Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bread Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bread Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bread Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bread Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bread because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bread Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 49.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bread contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bread Financial Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Bread Financial trading at USD 50.0, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bread Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bread Financial Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Bread |
Bread Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bread Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bread Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bread Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bread Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bread Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bread Financial's historical news coverage. Bread Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.92 and 51.22, respectively. We have considered Bread Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bread Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bread Financial Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bread Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bread Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bread Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bread Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.15 | 0.93 | 0.06 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.00 | 49.07 | 1.86 |
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Bread Financial Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of March Bread Financial Holdings is traded for 50.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Bread is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 76.24%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.86%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Bread Financial is about 1254.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.06. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bread Financial Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.54. The firm had 1253:1000 split on the 8th of November 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Bread Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bread Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bread Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bread Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bread Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bread Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Bread Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bread price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bread using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bread charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bread Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bread Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bread Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bread Financial based on analysis of Bread Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bread Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bread Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0229 | 0.0256 | 0.0142 | 0.014 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.6 | 0.57 |
Story Coverage note for Bread Financial
The number of cover stories for Bread Financial depends on current market conditions and Bread Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bread Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bread Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bread Financial Short Properties
Bread Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bread Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bread Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bread Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bread Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Complementary Tools for Bread Stock analysis
When running Bread Financial's price analysis, check to measure Bread Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bread Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Bread Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bread Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bread Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bread Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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