Harley Davidson Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

HOG Stock  USD 24.56  0.36  1.49%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Harley Davidson. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Harley Davidson over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Harley Davidson's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Harley Davidson's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.64
Alpha
(0.34)
Risk
2.05
Sharpe Ratio
(0.21)
Expected Return
(0.43)
Please note that although Harley Davidson alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Harley Davidson did 0.34  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Harley Davidson stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Harley Davidson has a beta of 0.64  . As returns on the market increase, Harley Davidson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harley Davidson is expected to be smaller as well. At this time, Harley Davidson's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Enterprise Value Multiple is estimated to increase to 10.34, while Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease to 4.83.

Harley Davidson Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

1.88 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Harley Davidson Backtesting, Harley Davidson Valuation, Harley Davidson Correlation, Harley Davidson Hype Analysis, Harley Davidson Volatility, Harley Davidson History and analyze Harley Davidson Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.

Harley Davidson Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Harley Davidson market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Harley Davidson long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Harley Davidson. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Harley Davidson's performance over market.
α-0.34   β0.64

Harley Davidson expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Harley Davidson's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Harley Davidson performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Harley Davidson Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Harley Davidson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harley Davidson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Harley Davidson stock market price indicators, traders can identify Harley Davidson position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Harley Davidson Return and Market Media

The median price of Harley Davidson for the period between Sat, Dec 14, 2024 and Fri, Mar 14, 2025 is 28.04 with a coefficient of variation of 8.66. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.44, arithmetic mean of 28.17, and mean deviation of 2.06. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Disposition of 6234 shares by Luke Mansfield of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3
12/13/2024
 
Harley Davidson dividend paid on 23rd of December 2024
12/23/2024
2
Disposition of 558 shares by Osullivan Coyne Edel M. of Harley Davidson at 36.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2025
3
Disposition of 1184 shares by Jonathan Root of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3
01/31/2025
4
Harley-Davidson Q4 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
02/05/2025
5
Disposition of 1055 shares by Mark Kornetzke of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3
02/07/2025
6
Disposition of 1074 shares by Tori Termaat of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2025
7
Disposition of 3400 shares by Luke Mansfield of Harley Davidson at 25.9601 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2025
8
Inflation could roar back in 2025 not just because of tariffs
02/21/2025
9
Harley-Davidson Q3 EPS Estimate Raised by Zacks Research
02/26/2025
10
Harley-Davidson, Inc. To Present at Raymond James 46th Annual Institutional Investors Conference
02/27/2025
11
2 Stocks to Avoid in 2025
02/28/2025
12
Acquisition by Koval Glen of 968 shares of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3
03/04/2025
13
Harley-Davidson, Inc. to Present at Bank of America 2025 Consumer Retail Conference
03/10/2025
14
Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. Went Up on Monday
03/11/2025
15
Ford Motor Shares Acquired Rep. Tim Moore
03/13/2025

About Harley Davidson Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Harley or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Harley Davidson has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01510.01840.0230.0126
Price To Sales Ratio1.070.90.761.43

Harley Davidson Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Harley Davidson's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Harley Davidson's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Harley Davidson's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Harley Davidson. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Harley Davidson's management manipulating its earnings.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
8th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Build Portfolio with Harley Davidson

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Harley Davidson is a strong investment it is important to analyze Harley Davidson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Harley Davidson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Harley Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Harley Davidson technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Harley Davidson technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Harley Davidson trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...