Harley Davidson Stock Analysis
HOG Stock | USD 26.56 0.08 0.30% |
Harley Davidson is undervalued with Real Value of 28.3 and Target Price of 37.17. The main objective of Harley Davidson stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Harley Davidson is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Harley Davidson's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Harley Davidson stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Harley Davidson's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Harley |
Harley Stock Analysis Notes
About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Harley Davidson has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of April 2000. The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5800 people. To learn more about Harley Davidson call Jochen Zeitz at 414 342 4680 or check out https://www.harley-davidson.com.Harley Davidson Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Harley Davidson Investment Alerts
Harley Davidson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Is Harley-Davidson Strengthening Its Financial Position with a Dividend Increase |
Harley Davidson Upcoming and Recent Events
8th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
25th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
8th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Harley Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Harley Davidson's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996-04-16 | 1996-03-31 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
1999-04-12 | 1999-03-31 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
1999-01-19 | 1998-12-31 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.02 | 11 |
Harley Davidson Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Harley Davidson's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Harley Davidson's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Harley Davidson's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Harley Davidson's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Harley Davidson Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Harley Davidson stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
![]() | Consumer GoodsUSA Equities from Consumer Goods industry as classified by Fama & French |
Harley Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Donald Smith & Co Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 12.7 M | H Partners Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 11.3 M |
Harley Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 3.38 B.Harley Profitablity
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.09 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.28) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.28.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.10 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.10 | |
Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.10 | |
Return On Equity | 0.20 | 0.19 |
Management Efficiency
Harley Davidson has Return on Asset of 0.0217 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0217 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1389 %, implying that it generated $0.1389 on every 100 dollars invested. Harley Davidson's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Harley Davidson manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Harley Davidson's Return On Tangible Assets are most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Return On Assets is estimated to increase to 0.1, while Return On Capital Employed is projected to decrease to 0.1. At this time, Harley Davidson's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Other Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 385.2 M, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 2 B.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 20.56 | 21.59 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 20.12 | 21.12 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 9.30 | 10.46 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.85 | 1.76 | |
Price Fair Value | 1.85 | 1.76 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.30 | 10.46 | |
Enterprise Value | 18.1 B | 19 B |
The management team at Harley Davidson has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Technical Drivers
As of the 26th of February, Harley Davidson retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.40), risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Standard Deviation of 1.64. Harley Davidson technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Harley Davidson market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if Harley Davidson is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 26.56 per share. Given that Harley Davidson has information ratio of (0.20), we strongly advise you to confirm Harley Davidson's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Harley Davidson Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Harley Davidson middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Harley Davidson. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Harley Davidson Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Harley Davidson insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Harley Davidson's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Harley Davidson insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Harley Davidson Outstanding Bonds
Harley Davidson issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Harley Davidson uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Harley bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Harley Davidson has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
US41283LAY11 Corp BondUS41283LAY11 | View | |
HOG 305 14 FEB 27 Corp BondUS41283LBA26 | View | |
MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
HOG 65 10 MAR 28 Corp BondUS41284VAC63 | View | |
MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
HARLEY DAVIDSON INC Corp BondUS412822AD08 | View | |
HARLEY DAVIDSON INC Corp BondUS412822AE80 | View |
Harley Davidson Predictive Daily Indicators
Harley Davidson intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Harley Davidson stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Harley Davidson Corporate Filings
F4 | 18th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 11th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 10th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 7th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 5th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
23rd of January 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 2nd of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
Harley Davidson Forecast Models
Harley Davidson's time-series forecasting models are one of many Harley Davidson's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Harley Davidson's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Harley Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Harley Davidson prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Harley shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Harley Davidson. By using and applying Harley Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Harley entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.45 | 0.47 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.24 | 0.25 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.39 | 0.41 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.28 | 0.27 |
Current Harley Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Harley analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Harley analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
37.17 | Buy | 16 | Odds |
Most Harley analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Harley stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Harley Davidson, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Harley conference calls.
Harley Stock Analysis Indicators
Harley Davidson stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Harley Davidson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Harley Davidson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Harley Davidson stock analysis, traders can identify Harley Davidson position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6 B | |
50 Day M A | 28.7708 | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.3 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 877 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.341 | |
Forward Price Earnings | 8.8261 |
Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis
When running Harley Davidson's price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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