Harley Davidson Stock Performance
| HOG Stock | USD 25.24 0.11 0.43% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harley Davidson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harley Davidson is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Harley Davidson has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to check out Harley Davidson's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Harley Davidson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Harley Davidson has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.43) | Five Day Return 3.44 | Year To Date Return (14.24) | Ten Year Return (59.25) | All Time Return 7.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0286 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.72 | Dividend Date 2025-03-14 |
1 | Disposition of 6234 shares by Luke Mansfield of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/20/2024 |
| Harley Davidson dividend paid on 23rd of December 2024 | 12/23/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 558 shares by Osullivan Coyne Edel M. of Harley Davidson at 36.85 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 1184 shares by Jonathan Root of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/31/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Do Charles of 15644 shares of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 1055 shares by Mark Kornetzke of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/07/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 1074 shares by Tori Termaat of Harley Davidson subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/11/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 3400 shares by Luke Mansfield of Harley Davidson at 25.9601 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/13/2025 |
8 | U.S. politician is day-trading these 2 stocks | 02/19/2025 |
9 | Decoding Harley-Davidson Inc A Strategic SWOT Insight | 02/28/2025 |
10 | Harley-Davidson Full Year 2024 Earnings Misses Expectations | 03/03/2025 |
11 | Why Is Harley-Davidson Down 4.7 percent Since Last Earnings Report | 03/07/2025 |
12 | Harley-Davidson, Inc. to Present at Citis 2025 Global Consumer Retail Conference | 03/10/2025 |
13 | Harley-Davidson, Inc. to Present at Bank of America 2025 Consumer Retail Conference | 03/11/2025 |
14 | North Carolina Rep. Tim Moore Bought Up to 1.15M Worth of Harley-Davidson Stock | 03/12/2025 |
15 | Ford Motor Stock Unloaded Rep. Tim Moore | 03/13/2025 |
| Harley Davidson dividend paid on 14th of March 2025 | 03/14/2025 |
17 | What Is Driving Institutional Interest in Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 03/19/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6 B |
Harley |
Harley Davidson Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,049 in Harley Davidson on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (525.00) from holding Harley Davidson or give up 17.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Harley Davidson is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1313% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Harley, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Harley Davidson Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harley Davidson's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Harley Davidson, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Harley Davidson's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1395
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | HOG |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.13 actual daily | 19 81% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.3 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.14 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Harley Davidson is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Harley Davidson by adding Harley Davidson to a well-diversified portfolio.
Harley Davidson Fundamentals Growth
Harley Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Harley Davidson, and Harley Davidson fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Harley Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0249 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.26) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 8.58 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 124.54 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 38.00 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.99 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.61 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.19 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 1.38 B | |||
| EBITDA | 708.56 M | |||
| Net Income | 445.18 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.43 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 11.83 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.54 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 2.52 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.36 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.48 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.06 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.44 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 3.14 B | |||
| Total Asset | 11.88 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 3.47 B | |||
| Working Capital | 1.44 B | |||
| Current Asset | 2.07 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 990.05 M | |||
About Harley Davidson Performance
By analyzing Harley Davidson's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Harley Davidson's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Harley Davidson has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Harley Davidson has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 80.59 | 41.14 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.59 | 0.62 |
Things to note about Harley Davidson performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harley Davidson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Harley Davidson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harley Davidson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of March 2025 Harley Davidson paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: What Is Driving Institutional Interest in Harley-Davidson, Inc. |
- Analyzing Harley Davidson's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Harley Davidson's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Harley Davidson's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Harley Davidson's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Harley Davidson's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Harley Davidson's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Harley Davidson's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis
When running Harley Davidson's price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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