Upstart Holdings Stock Analysis

UPST Stock  USD 78.79  0.36  0.46%   
Upstart Holdings is overvalued with Real Value of 41.42 and Target Price of 23.74. The main objective of Upstart Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Upstart Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Upstart Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Upstart Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Upstart Holdings is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Upstart Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
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Upstart Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.91. Upstart Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Upstart Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence lending platform in the United States. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California. Upstart Holdings operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1497 people. For more information please call the company at 833 212 2461 or visit https://www.upstart.com.

Upstart Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

162.14 Million

Upstart Holdings Investment Alerts

Upstart Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Upstart Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 513.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (240.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 665.29 M.
Upstart Holdings currently holds about 683.97 M in cash with (160.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.35.
Roughly 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is Most-Watched Stock Upstart Holdings, Inc. Worth Betting on Now

Upstart Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

13th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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13th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Upstart Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Upstart Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-13
2023-12-31-0.14-0.110.0321 
2023-11-07
2023-09-30-0.02-0.05-0.03150 
2021-03-17
2020-12-310.020.070.05250 
View All Earnings Estimates

Upstart Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Upstart Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Upstart Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Upstart Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Upstart Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Upstart Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fred Alger Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.1 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Coatue Management Llc2024-09-30
870.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
673.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
642.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
526.9 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
501.2 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
447.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
7.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.7 M
Note, although Upstart Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Upstart Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 7.16 B.

Upstart Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.28) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.2) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.2.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.12)(0.12)
Return On Capital Employed(0.14)(0.13)
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.11)
Return On Equity(0.38)(0.36)

Management Efficiency

Upstart Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0553) % which means that it has lost $0.0553 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2721) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Upstart Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Upstart Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to -0.12 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to -0.13 in 2024. Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 120.4 M in 2024. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop to about 1.3 B in 2024
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 7.58  5.18 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 6.65  4.67 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(19.91)(18.92)
Price Book Value Ratio 5.39  10.60 
Enterprise Value Multiple(19.91)(18.92)
Price Fair Value 5.39  10.60 
Enterprise Value4.3 B3.2 B
Leadership at Upstart Holdings emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Operating Margin
(0.20)
Profit Margin
(0.28)
Beta
1.976
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.27)

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of November, Upstart Holdings has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1345, coefficient of variation of 608.71, and Semi Deviation of 3.52. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Upstart Holdings, as well as the relationship between them.

Upstart Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Upstart Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Upstart Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Upstart Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Upstart Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Upstart Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Upstart Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Paul Gu over two weeks ago
Disposition of 5000 shares by Paul Gu of Upstart Holdings at 1.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scott Darling over three weeks ago
Disposition of 9000 shares by Scott Darling of Upstart Holdings at 45.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scott Darling over three weeks ago
Acquisition by Scott Darling of 5128 shares of Upstart Holdings at 13.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Natalia Mirgorodskaya over two months ago
Acquisition by Natalia Mirgorodskaya of 5000 shares of Upstart Holdings at 1.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over two months ago
Disposition of 1500 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 34.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over two months ago
Disposition of 1500 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 34.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over three months ago
Disposition of 1500 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 42.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Paul Gu over three months ago
Disposition of 15864 shares by Paul Gu of Upstart Holdings at 38.3069 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over three months ago
Disposition of 1000 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 26.31 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over three months ago
Disposition of 1000 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 23.41 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Datta Sanjay over three months ago
Disposition of 1000 shares by Datta Sanjay of Upstart Holdings at 23.63 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scott Darling over three months ago
Disposition of 842 shares by Scott Darling of Upstart Holdings at 13.22 subject to Rule 16b-3

Upstart Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Upstart Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Upstart Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Upstart bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Upstart Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Upstart Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Upstart Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Upstart Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Upstart Holdings Corporate Filings

F4
27th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
15th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
13th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
8th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

Upstart Holdings Forecast Models

Upstart Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Upstart Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Upstart Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Upstart Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Upstart Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Upstart shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Upstart Holdings. By using and applying Upstart Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Upstart entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.47)(0.44)
Operating Profit Margin(0.50)(0.47)
Net Loss(0.47)(0.44)
Gross Profit Margin 0.95  0.69 

Current Upstart Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Upstart analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Upstart analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
23.74Hold16Odds
Upstart Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Upstart analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Upstart stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Upstart Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Upstart conference calls.
Upstart Analyst Advice Details

Upstart Stock Analysis Indicators

Upstart Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Upstart Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Upstart Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Upstart Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Upstart Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow532.5 M
Long Term Debt653 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity635.3 M
Tax Provision-420 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.091
Property Plant And Equipment Net66 M
Cash And Short Term Investments368.4 M
Cash368.4 M
Accounts Payable12.6 M
Net Debt860.8 M
50 Day M A53.8987
Total Current Liabilities139.4 M
Other Operating Expenses770.1 M
Non Current Assets Total378.1 M
Forward Price Earnings81.9672
Non Currrent Assets Other227.6 M
Stock Based Compensation175 M

Additional Tools for Upstart Stock Analysis

When running Upstart Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Upstart Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upstart Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Upstart Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upstart Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upstart Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upstart Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.