Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Analysis

AMBP Stock  USD 3.68  0.01  0.27%   
Ardagh Metal Packaging is fairly valued with Real Value of 3.75 and Target Price of 3.9. The main objective of Ardagh Metal stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ardagh Metal Packaging is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ardagh Metal's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ardagh Metal stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Ardagh Metal is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Ardagh Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ardagh Metal Packaging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Ardagh Stock Analysis Notes

About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. Ardagh Metal Packaging recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2024. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A. Ardagh Metal is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. For more info on Ardagh Metal Packaging please contact Oliver Graham at 352 2 625 8555 or go to https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com.

Ardagh Metal Quarterly Total Revenue

1.31 Billion

Ardagh Metal Packaging Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (50 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593 M.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging to participate in a fireside chat at the Citi Basic Materials Conference

Ardagh Metal Packaging Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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25th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Ardagh Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardagh Metal's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-10-24
2024-09-300.070.080.0114 
2024-07-25
2024-06-300.050.060.0120 
2023-10-26
2023-09-300.050.060.0120 
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Ardagh Metal Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ardagh Metal's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ardagh Metal's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ardagh Metal's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ardagh Metal's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ardagh Metal Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Ardagh Metal stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Shipping Containers Idea
Shipping Containers
USA Equities from Shipping Containers industry as classified by Fama & French

Ardagh Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
3.1 M
Solas Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.7 M
State Street Corp2024-09-30
2.4 M
Bw Gestao De Investimentos Ltda2024-09-30
M
Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.7 M
Canyon Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
10.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.1 M
Note, although Ardagh Metal's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ardagh Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.21 B.

Ardagh Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.01) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.50)(0.52)

Management Efficiency

Ardagh Metal Packaging has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0231 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0231 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6358) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ardagh Metal's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ardagh Metal manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 12/02/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.01. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.02. As of 12/02/2024, Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 1.4 B. In addition to that, Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop to about 5.4 B
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.18  0.33 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(2.14)(2.24)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 11.01  15.55 
Price Book Value Ratio 22.95  21.80 
Enterprise Value Multiple 11.01  15.55 
Price Fair Value 22.95  21.80 
Ardagh Metal's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Dividend Yield
0.1087
Operating Margin
0.0647
Profit Margin
(0.01)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1087
Beta
0.61

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, Ardagh Metal shows the mean deviation of 1.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0385. Ardagh Metal Packaging technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ardagh Metal middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ardagh Metal Packaging. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ardagh Metal Outstanding Bonds

Ardagh Metal issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ardagh Metal Packaging uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ardagh bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ardagh Metal Packaging has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ardagh Metal Predictive Daily Indicators

Ardagh Metal intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ardagh Metal stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ardagh Metal Corporate Filings

6K
24th of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
16th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
25th of July 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
23rd of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
16th of May 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
25th of April 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
15th of April 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
5th of April 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Ardagh Metal Forecast Models

Ardagh Metal's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ardagh Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ardagh Metal's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ardagh Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ardagh Metal prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ardagh shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ardagh Metal. By using and applying Ardagh Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ardagh entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Operating Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Net Loss(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.15 

Current Ardagh Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ardagh analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ardagh analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
3.9Buy8Odds
Ardagh Metal Packaging current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ardagh analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ardagh stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ardagh Metal Packaging, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ardagh conference calls.
Ardagh Analyst Advice Details

Ardagh Stock Analysis Indicators

Ardagh Metal Packaging stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ardagh Metal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ardagh Metal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ardagh Metal stock analysis, traders can identify Ardagh Metal position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow555 M
Total Stockholder Equity100 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments434 M
Cash434 M
50 Day M A3.7648
Net Interest Income-101 M
Total Current Liabilities1.5 B
Forward Price Earnings15.9236
Investments-486 M
Interest Expense161 M
Stock Based Compensation-815 M
Long Term Debt3.6 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding597.6 M
Tax Provision-12 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.091
Free Cash Flow237 M
Other Current Assets20 M
Accounts Payable1.1 B
Net Debt3.3 B
Other Operating Expenses4.7 B
Non Current Assets Total4.2 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity5.7 B
Non Currrent Assets Other92 M

Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis

When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.