Is Ardagh Metal Stock a Good Investment?
Ardagh Metal Investment Advice | AMBP |
- Examine Ardagh Metal's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Ardagh Metal's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Ardagh Metal navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Diversified Metals & Mining space and any emerging trends that could impact Ardagh Metal's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Ardagh Metal's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Ardagh Metal is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Ardagh Metal pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Ardagh Metal's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Ardagh Metal Packaging stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Ardagh Metal Packaging is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Examine Ardagh Metal Stock
Researching Ardagh Metal's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. Ardagh Metal Packaging recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2025.
To determine if Ardagh Metal is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Ardagh Metal's research are outlined below:
| Ardagh Metal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 598 M. | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Ardagh Metal Packaging SA The Best Stock Under 3 to Buy Now |
Ardagh Metal Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Ardagh Metal uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Ardagh Metal Packaging. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ardagh Metal's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 22nd of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 25th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 22nd of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardagh Metal's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Ardagh Metal's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-24 | 2024-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2024-07-25 | 2024-06-30 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2023-10-26 | 2023-09-30 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2023-07-27 | 2023-06-30 | 0.05 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 20 | ||
2021-08-23 | 2021-06-30 | 0.075 | 0.065 | -0.01 | 13 | ||
2022-10-27 | 2022-09-30 | 0.08 | 0.06 | -0.02 | 25 | ||
2022-04-28 | 2022-03-31 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2022-02-24 | 2021-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 22 |
Know Ardagh Metal's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ardagh Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ardagh Metal Packaging backward and forwards among themselves. Ardagh Metal's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ardagh Metal's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | King Street Capital Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 2.5 M | Centerbook Partners Lp | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Boundary Creek Advisors Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Canyon Capital Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 10.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 8.9 M |
Ardagh Metal's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.73 B.Market Cap |
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Ardagh Metal's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Determining Ardagh Metal's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Ardagh Metal is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Ardagh Metal's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Ardagh Metal's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Ardagh Metal's management efficiency
Ardagh Metal Packaging has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0191 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0191 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6358) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ardagh Metal's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ardagh Metal manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Ardagh Metal's Return On Capital Employed is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/26/2025, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.02, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.0007). As of 03/26/2025, Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 1.4 B. In addition to that, Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop to about 5.4 B| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (2.27) | (2.39) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 8.11 | 14.61 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (12.67) | (12.04) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 8.11 | 14.61 | |
| Price Fair Value | (12.67) | (12.04) |
Ardagh Metal's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Basic technical analysis of Ardagh Stock
As of the 26th of March, Ardagh Metal shows the mean deviation of 1.96, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01). Ardagh Metal Packaging technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.Ardagh Metal's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Ardagh Metal issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ardagh Metal Packaging uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ardagh bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ardagh Metal Packaging has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Dana 575 percent Corp BondUS235822AB96 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Understand Ardagh Metal's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Ardagh Metal's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,747) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.37 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3232 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.4 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,747) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.37 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3232 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.4 |
Consider Ardagh Metal's intraday indicators
Ardagh Metal intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ardagh Metal stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Ardagh Metal Corporate Filings
6K | 11th of March 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
| 4th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Ardagh Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Ardagh Metal that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Ardagh media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Ardagh internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Ardagh data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Ardagh Metal news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Ardagh Metal relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Ardagh Metal's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Ardagh Metal alpha.
Ardagh Metal Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Ardagh Metal can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Ardagh Metal Corporate Management
| David Matthews | Director | Profile | |
| Damien Brien | Non-Executive Independent Director | Profile | |
| Elizabeth Marcellino | Non-Executive Director | Profile | |
| Abigail Blunt | Non-Executive Director | Profile | |
| Edward White | Non-Executive Director | Profile | |
| Yves Elsen | Non-Executive Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in Ardagh Metal Packaging?
The danger of trading Ardagh Metal Packaging is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Ardagh Metal is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Ardagh Metal. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Ardagh Metal Packaging is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.