Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Performance

AMBP Stock  USD 3.16  0.25  8.59%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Ardagh Metal returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ardagh Metal is expected to follow. At this point, Ardagh Metal Packaging has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm Ardagh Metal's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Ardagh Metal Packaging performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ardagh Metal Packaging has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.68
Five Day Return
5.05
Year To Date Return
(2.02)
Ten Year Return
(70.90)
All Time Return
(70.90)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1375
Payout Ratio
0.0267
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2024-12-19
Ex Dividend Date
2024-12-05
1
Ardagh Metal Packagings SWOT analysis beverage can maker faces growth and leverage challenges
12/18/2024
 
Ardagh Metal dividend paid on 19th of December 2024
12/19/2024
2
Ardagh Metal Packaging price target lowered to 4 from 4.50 at Citi - Yahoo Finance
01/07/2025
3
Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock - MSN
01/16/2025
4
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging the Best Affordable Stock Under 5 to Buy Now
01/27/2025
5
Northwest Pipe Co. Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
02/26/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow555 M
Free Cash Flow237 M
  

Ardagh Metal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  358.00  in Ardagh Metal Packaging on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (42.00) from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or give up 11.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ardagh Metal Packaging is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5501% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Ardagh, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ardagh Metal is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Ardagh Metal Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardagh Metal's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Ardagh Metal Packaging, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ardagh Metal's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.069

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.55
  actual daily
22
78% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.18
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.07
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ardagh Metal is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ardagh Metal by adding Ardagh Metal to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ardagh Metal Fundamentals Growth

Ardagh Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ardagh Metal, and Ardagh Metal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ardagh Stock performance.

About Ardagh Metal Performance

Assessing Ardagh Metal's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ardagh Metal's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ardagh Metal is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 35.52  30.57 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.45)(0.47)

Things to note about Ardagh Metal Packaging performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ardagh Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ardagh Metal Packaging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ardagh Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ardagh Metal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (50 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 631 M.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Northwest Pipe Co. Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
Evaluating Ardagh Metal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ardagh Metal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ardagh Metal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ardagh Metal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ardagh Metal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ardagh Metal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ardagh Metal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ardagh Metal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ardagh Metal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ardagh Metal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ardagh Metal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis

When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.