American Financial Group Stock Analysis

AFG Stock  USD 128.50  0.44  0.34%   
American Financial Group is undervalued with Real Value of 138.51 and Target Price of 149.4. The main objective of American Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what American Financial Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of American Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The American Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and American Financial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

American Stock Analysis Notes

About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of American Financial was presently reported as 53.18. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. American Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of December 2006. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. American Financial operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6600 people. For more info on American Financial Group please contact S Lindner at 513 579 2121 or go to https://www.afginc.com.

American Financial Investment Alerts

American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: American Financial Group, Inc. Sees Large Increase in Short Interest

American Financial Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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American Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-11-02
2001-09-300.140.11-0.0321 
2000-02-16
1999-12-310.30.27-0.0310 
2003-10-29
2003-09-300.430.480.0511 
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American Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

American Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates American Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of American Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect American Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

American Financial Thematic Classifications

In addition to having American Financial stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ESG Investing Idea
ESG Investing
Companies that promote environmental, social, and governance factors during their day-to-day operations
Insurance Idea
Insurance
USA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French

American Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2024-12-31
894 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
802.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
764.5 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
684.2 K
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-12-31
672.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
653.5 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
640.6 K
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
607.7 K
Bahl & Gaynor Inc.2024-12-31
585.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
8.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
7.7 M
Note, although American Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 10.75 B.

American Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.11 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.17 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.17 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.21 

Management Efficiency

American Financial has Return on Asset of 0.0255 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0255 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2034 %, implying that it generated $0.2034 on every 100 dollars invested. American Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The American Financial's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.21, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.02. At this time, American Financial's Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The American Financial's current Net Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to about 5.3 B, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 289.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 53.23  26.99 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 49.59  24.82 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.67  9.44 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.57  2.70 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.67  9.44 
Price Fair Value 2.57  2.70 
Enterprise Value7.7 B8.1 B
The strategic decisions made by American Financial management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.025
Operating Margin
0.1715
Profit Margin
0.1107
Forward Dividend Yield
0.025
Beta
0.771

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of March, American Financial shows the mean deviation of 1.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04). American Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Financial standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside to decide if American Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 128.5 per share. Given that American Financial has information ratio of (0.06), we suggest you to validate American Financial Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Financial Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. American Financial middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for American Financial. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

American Financial Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Financial Outstanding Bonds

American Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Financial Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

American Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Financial Corporate Filings

F4
18th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
28th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
26th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
25th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
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F4
24th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
21st of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
20th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13th of February 2025
Other Reports
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American Financial Forecast Models

American Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many American Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About American Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how American Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling American shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as American Financial. By using and applying American Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying American entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.90  0.95 

Current American Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
149.4Buy6Odds
American Financial Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
American Analyst Advice Details

American Stock Analysis Indicators

American Financial Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how American Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading American Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Financial stock analysis, traders can identify American Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 B
Total Stockholder Equity4.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B
Net Invested Capital5.9 B
Cash1.4 B
50 Day M A128.63
Net Interest Income-76 M
Total Current Liabilities1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings11.534
Investments95 M
Interest Expense76 M
Long Term Debt1.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.9 M
Tax Provision237 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.034
Free Cash Flow1.2 B
Accounts Payable1.2 B
Net Debt69 M
Depreciation81 M
Other Operating Expenses8.3 B
Non Current Assets Total305 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity30.8 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-13.9 B

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When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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