Sofi Technologies Stock Price Prediction

SOFI Stock  USD 16.41  0.29  1.80%   
The relative strength indicator of SoFi Technologies' share price is above 70 as of 30th of November 2024. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling SoFi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SoFi Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SoFi Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SoFi Technologies' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1167
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.241
Wall Street Target Price
10.1333
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Using SoFi Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SoFi Technologies from the perspective of SoFi Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

SoFi Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SoFi Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SoFi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SoFi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SoFi Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SoFi Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SoFi Technologies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SoFi Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SoFi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SoFi Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SoFi Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SoFi Stock please use our How to Invest in SoFi Technologies guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1813.3616.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9617.1420.32
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.079.9711.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.040.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SoFi Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SoFi Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SoFi Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SoFi Technologies.

SoFi Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SoFi Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SoFi Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SoFi Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SoFi Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SoFi Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SoFi Technologies' historical news coverage. SoFi Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.76 and 20.12, respectively. We have considered SoFi Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.41
16.94
After-hype Price
20.12
Upside
SoFi Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SoFi Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

SoFi Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SoFi Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SoFi Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SoFi Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.29 
3.18
  0.53 
  0.19 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.41
16.94
3.23 
775.61  
Notes

SoFi Technologies Hype Timeline

SoFi Technologies is at this time traded for 16.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. SoFi is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.29%. The volatility of related hype on SoFi Technologies is about 2104.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.60. SoFi Technologies currently holds 5.36 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out SoFi Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SoFi Stock please use our How to Invest in SoFi Technologies guide.

SoFi Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SoFi Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SoFi Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how SoFi Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SoFi Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QFIN360 Finance 0.37 10 per month 2.39  0.17  6.30 (4.25) 13.28 
ATLCAtlanticus Holdings 1.58 9 per month 1.30  0.26  5.83 (2.04) 11.47 
QDQudian Inc(0.04)1 per month 2.25  0.16  6.93 (4.04) 33.52 
ENVAEnova International 0.90 11 per month 1.59  0.11  3.02 (3.16) 13.01 
LCLendingClub Corp(0.26)11 per month 1.97  0.14  5.23 (3.31) 15.07 
FINVFinVolution Group(0.18)8 per month 2.21  0.13  5.23 (4.60) 13.22 
YRDYirendai(0.53)5 per month 5.24  0.04  10.82 (6.80) 46.34 
NAVINavient Corp(0.53)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.95 (3.50) 13.67 
SNTGSentage Holdings 0.05 1 per month 2.69 (0.04) 5.91 (4.78) 21.33 

SoFi Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SoFi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SoFi using various technical indicators. When you analyze SoFi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SoFi Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SoFi Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SoFi Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SoFi Technologies based on analysis of SoFi Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SoFi Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SoFi Technologies's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03880.0097340.0042990.004084
Price To Sales Ratio8.462.644.462.94

Story Coverage note for SoFi Technologies

The number of cover stories for SoFi Technologies depends on current market conditions and SoFi Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SoFi Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SoFi Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SoFi Technologies Short Properties

SoFi Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when SoFi Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SoFi Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SoFi Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SoFi Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding945 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.8 B

Complementary Tools for SoFi Stock analysis

When running SoFi Technologies' price analysis, check to measure SoFi Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SoFi Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of SoFi Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SoFi Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SoFi Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SoFi Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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