Orrstown Financial Services Stock Price Prediction

ORRF Stock  USD 31.35  0.85  2.79%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Orrstown Financial's share price is below 30 as of 24th of March 2025. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orrstown Financial Services, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 20

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orrstown Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orrstown Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orrstown Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orrstown Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Orrstown Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orrstown Financial Services from the perspective of Orrstown Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Orrstown Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Orrstown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Orrstown Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Orrstown Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7331.1032.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.3930.7732.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.2830.8431.40
Details

Orrstown Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Orrstown Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orrstown Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orrstown Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Orrstown Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Orrstown Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orrstown Financial's historical news coverage. Orrstown Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.98 and 32.72, respectively. We have considered Orrstown Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.35
31.35
After-hype Price
32.72
Upside
Orrstown Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orrstown Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Orrstown Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orrstown Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orrstown Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orrstown Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.37
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.35
31.35
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Orrstown Financial Hype Timeline

Orrstown Financial is now traded for 31.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Orrstown is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orrstown Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.35. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orrstown Financial last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 23rd of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Orrstown Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Orrstown Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Orrstown Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orrstown Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Orrstown Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orrstown Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 2.16  0.05  5.67 (4.82) 13.32 
LNKBLINKBANCORP 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.37 (2.80) 8.31 
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.17  1.13 (1.35) 4.39 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.36  0.14  4.14 (3.16) 21.68 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.45 (2.14) 6.01 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.38 (2.90) 11.49 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FCCOFirst Community 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.41 (2.71) 10.26 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.07  1.17 (1.77) 16.29 
HVBCHV Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CVLYCodorus Valley Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.89 (1.94) 19.74 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Orrstown Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orrstown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orrstown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orrstown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Orrstown Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Orrstown Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Orrstown Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orrstown Financial based on analysis of Orrstown Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Orrstown Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orrstown Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Orrstown Financial

The number of cover stories for Orrstown Financial depends on current market conditions and Orrstown Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orrstown Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orrstown Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Orrstown Financial Short Properties

Orrstown Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orrstown Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orrstown Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orrstown Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrstown Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments238.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.04
Shares Float16.9 M

Complementary Tools for Orrstown Stock analysis

When running Orrstown Financial's price analysis, check to measure Orrstown Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orrstown Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Orrstown Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orrstown Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orrstown Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orrstown Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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