Orrstown Financial Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ORRF Stock  USD 33.50  0.35  1.06%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orrstown Financial Services is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Orrstown Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ORRF positions.
  
Check out Orrstown Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orrstown and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Orrstown Financial Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Orrstown Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Orrstown recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orrstown Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orrstown Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orrstown Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orrstown FinancialBuy Orrstown Financial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Orrstown Financial Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.22) and Treynor Ratio of (0.36)
Our advice module can be used to complement Orrstown Financial recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Orrstown Financial is not overpriced, please check all Orrstown Financial fundamentals, including its total debt, and the relationship between the gross profit and earnings per share . Given that Orrstown Financial has a number of shares shorted of 125.85 K, we recommend you to check out Orrstown Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orrstown Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Orrstown Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of February 2025 Orrstown Financial paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Simmons Bank Decreases Stock Position in ConocoPhillips

Orrstown Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orrstown Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orrstown Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orrstown Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orrstown Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orrstown Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orrstown Financial.
Mean Return
-0.25
Value At Risk
-2.24
Potential Upside
1.60
Standard Deviation
1.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orrstown Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orrstown Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
178.8 K
Petiole Usa Ltd2024-12-31
177 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
159.9 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
158 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
157.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
157.4 K
Maltese Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
150 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
147.6 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
131.7 K
Fourthstone Llc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Note, although Orrstown Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orrstown Financial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash69.3M83.5M(147.9M)4.3M3.9M4.1M
Free Cash Flow28.9M39.6M35.3M41.4M47.6M50.0M
Depreciation6.6M5.3M4.6M4.3M5.0M2.6M
Other Non Cash Items(1.1M)(2.1M)(9.7M)6.1M7.0M3.9M
Dividends Paid7.6M8.3M8.3M(8.5M)(9.8M)(9.3M)
Capital Expenditures1.3M1.3M895K2.3M2.6M2.8M
Net Income26.5M32.9M22.0M35.7M41.0M43.1M
End Period Cash Flow125.3M208.7M60.8M65.2M74.9M45.9M
Investments(292.3M)(1.8M)(270.2M)(201.0M)(180.9M)(171.8M)
Change Receivables1.2M(2.9M)693K(2.8M)(2.5M)(2.4M)
Net Borrowings19.0M(140.4M)(52.3M)98.2M112.9M118.6M
Change To Netincome(4.1M)(931K)3.4M(15.8M)(14.2M)(13.5M)

Orrstown Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orrstown Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orrstown Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orrstown stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Orrstown Financial Volatility Alert

Orrstown Financial Services exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.93 and kurtosis of 3.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orrstown Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orrstown Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Orrstown Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orrstown Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orrstown Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orrstown Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orrstown Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orrstown Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orrstown Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orrstown Financial to competition
FundamentalsOrrstown FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0564-0.31
Return On Asset0.0052-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.41 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation621.16 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding19.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.39 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted125.85 K4.71 M
Price To Earning9.59 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.69 X11.42 X
Revenue149.9 M9.43 B
Gross Profit176.14 M27.38 B
EBITDA953 K3.9 B
Net Income35.66 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents66.93 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt169.59 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.18 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share26.65 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations43.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.48 X3.12 X
Target Price41.25
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization649.56 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.06 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings117.67 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.98 %
Net Asset3.06 B
Last Dividend Paid0.86
Note: Acquisition by Amy Doll of 2719 shares of Orrstown Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Orrstown Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orrstown . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Orrstown Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orrstown Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as Orrstown Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Orrstown Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Orrstown Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Orrstown Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Orrstown Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Orrstown Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Orrstown Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orrstown Financial. If investors know Orrstown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orrstown Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
0.86
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
11.933
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.872
The market value of Orrstown Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orrstown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orrstown Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orrstown Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orrstown Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orrstown Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orrstown Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orrstown Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orrstown Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.