HMN Financial Price Prediction
| HMNFDelisted Stock | USD 27.99 0.61 2.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using HMN Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HMN Financial from the perspective of HMN Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HMN Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HMN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HMN Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 27.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HMN |
HMN Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HMN Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HMN Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HMN Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HMN Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HMN Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HMN Financial's historical news coverage. HMN Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.71 and 30.21, respectively. We have considered HMN Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HMN Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HMN Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
HMN Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HMN Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HMN Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HMN Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.25 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.99 | 27.96 | 0.11 |
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HMN Financial Hype Timeline
HMN Financial is currently traded for 27.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. HMN is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on HMN Financial is about 6875.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.98. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HMN Financial last dividend was issued on the 16th of August 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 26th of May 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.HMN Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HMN Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HMN Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how HMN Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HMN Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.43 | 0.1 | 1.90 | (1.22) | 3.88 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.31) | 17.43 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.36 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 6.30 | (4.11) | 14.42 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.12 | (0.0005) | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.36 | (0.01) | 3.69 | (3.23) | 8.64 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.00 | (2.14) | 6.16 |
HMN Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HMN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HMN using various technical indicators. When you analyze HMN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HMN Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HMN Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HMN Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HMN Financial based on analysis of HMN Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HMN Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HMN Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for HMN Financial
The number of cover stories for HMN Financial depends on current market conditions and HMN Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HMN Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HMN Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HMN Financial Short Properties
HMN Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when HMN Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HMN Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HMN Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HMN Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Other Consideration for investing in HMN Stock
If you are still planning to invest in HMN Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HMN Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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