Op Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| OPBK Stock | USD 14.42 0.03 0.21% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.815 | Wall Street Target Price 19 |
Using OP Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OP Bancorp from the perspective of OP Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OP Bancorp using OP Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OPBK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OP Bancorp's stock price.
OP Bancorp Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
OP Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OP Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OP Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OP Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when OP Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OP Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OPBK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OP Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 14.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OPBK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OP Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With OP Bancorp trading at USD 14.42, that is roughly USD 0.009824 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OP Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OP Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
OPBK |
OP Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OP Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OP Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OP Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OP Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OP Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OP Bancorp's historical news coverage. OP Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.73 and 17.11, respectively. We have considered OP Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OP Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OP Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
OP Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OP Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OP Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OP Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.69 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.42 | 14.42 | 0.00 |
|
OP Bancorp Hype Timeline
OP Bancorp is now traded for 14.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. OPBK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on OP Bancorp is about 2318.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.44. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OP Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out OP Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OP Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OP Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OP Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how OP Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OP Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCB | PCB Bancorp | 0.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.06 | (2.99) | 9.15 | |
| HOPE | Hope Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.35 | (3.61) | 8.88 | |
| RBB | RBB Bancorp | 0.24 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.06 | (2.24) | 8.25 | |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.04 | 3.10 | (2.44) | 9.49 | |
| PVBC | Provident Bancorp | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.08 | 4.40 | (2.37) | 9.21 |
OP Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OPBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OPBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze OPBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OP Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OP Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OP Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OP Bancorp based on analysis of OP Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OP Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OP Bancorp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0394 | 0.0438 | 0.0265 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.79 | 2.04 | 4.61 |
Story Coverage note for OP Bancorp
The number of cover stories for OP Bancorp depends on current market conditions and OP Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OP Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OP Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
OP Bancorp Short Properties
OP Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when OP Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OP Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OP Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OP Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.2 M |
Check out OP Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy OPBK Stock please use our How to buy in OPBK Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OP Bancorp. If investors know OPBK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OP Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 1.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
The market value of OP Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OPBK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OP Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OP Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OP Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OP Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OP Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OP Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OP Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.