Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Price Prediction
| GNTY Stock | USD 36.53 0.17 0.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4633 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4933 | Wall Street Target Price 40 |
Using Guaranty Bancshares, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guaranty Bancshares, from the perspective of Guaranty Bancshares, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guaranty Bancshares, to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guaranty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guaranty Bancshares, after-hype prediction price | USD 36.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guaranty |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Bancshares,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guaranty Bancshares, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guaranty Bancshares, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guaranty Bancshares, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guaranty Bancshares,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guaranty Bancshares, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guaranty Bancshares,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guaranty Bancshares,'s historical news coverage. Guaranty Bancshares,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.27 and 38.81, respectively. We have considered Guaranty Bancshares,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guaranty Bancshares, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guaranty Bancshares, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guaranty Bancshares, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guaranty Bancshares, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guaranty Bancshares,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.53 | 36.54 | 0.03 |
|
Guaranty Bancshares, Hype Timeline
Guaranty Bancshares, is currently traded for 36.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Guaranty is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Guaranty Bancshares, is about 1722.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.52. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.59 M. Net Income was 30.04 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Guaranty Bancshares, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guaranty Bancshares, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guaranty Bancshares,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Guaranty Bancshares,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guaranty Bancshares, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Guaranty Bancshares, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guaranty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guaranty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guaranty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guaranty Bancshares, Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guaranty Bancshares, stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guaranty Bancshares,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guaranty Bancshares, based on analysis of Guaranty Bancshares, hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guaranty Bancshares,'s market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guaranty Bancshares,'s related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0208 | 0.0249 | 0.0274 | 0.0288 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.77 | 152.85 | 3.35 | 3.18 |
Story Coverage note for Guaranty Bancshares,
The number of cover stories for Guaranty Bancshares, depends on current market conditions and Guaranty Bancshares,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guaranty Bancshares, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guaranty Bancshares,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Guaranty Bancshares, Short Properties
Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Guaranty Bancshares,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guaranty Bancshares, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guaranty Bancshares,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guaranty Bancshares,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Additional Tools for Guaranty Stock Analysis
When running Guaranty Bancshares,'s price analysis, check to measure Guaranty Bancshares,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guaranty Bancshares, is operating at the current time. Most of Guaranty Bancshares,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guaranty Bancshares,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guaranty Bancshares, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.