Geo Group Stock Price Prediction
| GEO Stock | USD 25.55 0.37 1.43% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Geo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Geo Group from the perspective of Geo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Geo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Geo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Geo after-hype prediction price | USD 25.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Geo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Geo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Geo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Geo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Geo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Geo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Geo's historical news coverage. Geo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.16 and 29.00, respectively. We have considered Geo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Geo is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Geo Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Geo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Geo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Geo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Geo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.55 | 25.58 | 0.12 |
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Geo Hype Timeline
On the 14th of March 2025 Geo Group is traded for 25.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Geo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Geo is about 14571.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.55. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.42 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 31.97 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 649.22 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Geo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Geo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Geo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Geo's future price movements. Getting to know how Geo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Geo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NL | NL Industries | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6.24 | (5.94) | 13.99 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.13 | 3.15 | (2.02) | 16.34 | |
| REZI | Resideo Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.50 | (3.58) | 12.10 | |
| BRC | Brady | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.18 | (2.77) | 9.18 | |
| BCO | Brinks Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.21 | (2.85) | 8.34 | |
| ALLE | Allegion PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 1.92 | (3.01) | 7.89 | |
| CIX | CompX International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.07 | (7.04) | 26.58 | |
| MSA | MSA Safety | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.65 | (2.78) | 4.68 | |
| EVLVW | Evolv Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.92 | 0.01 | 30.00 | (17.65) | 61.90 | |
| NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.31 | (3.83) | 30.02 | |
| LDDFF | Liberty Defense Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.48 | 0.15 | 12.90 | (9.62) | 46.73 | |
| GFAI | Guardforce AI Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.47 | 0.04 | 34.97 | (12.00) | 81.22 |
Geo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Geo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Geo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Geo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Geo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Geo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Geo Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geo based on analysis of Geo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Geo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Geo's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Geo
The number of cover stories for Geo depends on current market conditions and Geo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Geo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Geo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Geo Short Properties
Geo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Geo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Geo Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Geo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.9 M |
Check out Geo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.