Geo Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GEO Stock | USD 26.95 0.17 0.63% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Geo Group is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Geo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Geo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Geo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Geo |
Execute Geo Buy or Sell Advice
The Geo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Geo Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Geo Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Geo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Geo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Geo Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Geo Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Geo Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The GEO Group Inc Trading Down 4.16 percent on Dec 2 |
Geo Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Geo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Geo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Geo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Geo Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Geo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Geo.
| Mean Return | 1.21 | Value At Risk | -4.81 | Potential Upside | 6.91 | Standard Deviation | 6.06 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Geo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Geo Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Geo, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Geo Group back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Carronade Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Philosophy Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Nisa Investment Advisors, L.l.c. | 2024-06-30 | 1 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 989.3 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 913.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 19.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 14.9 M |
Geo Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (17M) | 244.4M | 236.5M | (404.5M) | 16.0M | 16.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 220.9M | 332.9M | 213.2M | 206.4M | 211.9M | 222.5M | |
| Depreciation | 130.8M | 134.7M | 135.2M | 132.9M | 125.8M | 63.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 21.0M | 28.3M | 6.9M | 14.4M | 15.5M | 9.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 117.2M | 108.8M | 69.4M | 90.0M | 73.0M | 86.8M | |
| Net Income | 166.6M | 113.0M | 77.4M | 171.8M | 107.3M | 76.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 232.5M | 216.1M | 30.5M | 8.3M | 4.5M | 4.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 67.5M | 311.9M | 548.3M | 143.8M | 159.9M | 88.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | (15.7M) | 130.6M | 53.1M | (656.5M) | (590.9M) | (561.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 33.1M | 56.5M | 105.0M | 8.5M | 9.8M | 9.3M | |
| Investments | (104.1M) | (104.2M) | (53.7M) | 3.0M | (59.1M) | (62.1M) |
Geo Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Geo or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Geo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Geo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Geo Volatility Alert
Geo Group is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Geo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Geo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Geo Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Geo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Geo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Geo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Geo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Geo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Geo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Geo to competition |
| Fundamentals | Geo | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0323 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0555 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.71 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 139.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.8 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.03 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.57 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 713 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 478.17 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 107.33 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 95.07 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.88 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.89 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 284.93 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.81 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.28 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.56 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 29.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.63 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 103.09 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 91.04 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Christopher Ryan of Geo subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Geo Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Geo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 56615.03 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.27) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 79.3 |
About Geo Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Geo Group? Buying financial instruments such as Geo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Geo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Utilities - Regulated Electric Thematic Idea Now
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 7 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Geo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share 18.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets 0.0555 |
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.