Geo Valuation

GEO Stock  USD 26.95  0.17  0.63%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Geo Group retains a regular Real Value of $20.95 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $26.95. Our model calculates the value of Geo Group from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 5.71 B, return on equity of 0.0323, and Return On Asset of 0.0555 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Geo's valuation include:
Price Book
3.029
Enterprise Value
5.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
15.4641
Price Sales
1.5741
Forward PE
15.5763
Overvalued
Today
26.95
Please note that Geo's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Geo Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Geo's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Geo is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Geo Stock. However, Geo's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  26.95 Real  20.95 Target  13.83 Hype  27.13 Naive  23.87
The intrinsic value of Geo's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Geo's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
20.95
Real Value
27.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Geo Group helps investors to forecast how Geo stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Geo more accurately as focusing exclusively on Geo's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.200.210.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0327.1333.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.7723.8729.98
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.5913.8315.35
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Geo's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Geo's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Geo's closest peers.

Geo Cash

78.92 Million

Geo Valuation Trend

Knowing Geo's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Geo's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Geo Revenue by Product

Geo Total Value Analysis

Geo Group is currently forecasted to have company total value of 5.71 B with market capitalization of 3.82 B, debt of 1.89 B, and cash on hands of 95.07 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Geo fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.71 B
3.82 B
1.89 B
95.07 M

Geo Investor Information

About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Geo was currently reported as 9.68. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.56. Geo Group last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2021. The entity had 3:2 split on the 25th of April 2017. Based on the analysis of Geo's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Geo Group is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in January.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.07340.146
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income370 M352.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Geo Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Geo has an asset utilization ratio of 65.28 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.65 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Geo Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Geo Ownership Allocation

Geo Group has a total of 139.83 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Geo Group outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Geo to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Geo Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Geo Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Geo Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.41 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 107.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 713 M.

About Geo Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geo Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Geo Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Geo's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Geo's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Geo. We calculate exposure to Geo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Geo's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit668.9 M702.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.28  0.17 

Geo Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.188
Forward Price Earnings15.5763

Geo Current Valuation Indicators

Geo's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Geo's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Geo, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Geo's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Geo's worth.
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.188
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
18.972
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
Return On Assets
0.0555
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.