Geo Group Stock Analysis

GEO Stock  USD 27.36  0.02  0.07%   
Geo Group is undervalued with Real Value of 29.01 and Target Price of 29.2. The main objective of Geo stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Geo Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Geo's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Geo stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Geo is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Geo Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Geo Stock Analysis Notes

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Geo was currently reported as 9.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. Geo Group last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2021. The entity had 3:2 split on the 25th of April 2017. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEOs worldwide operations include the ownership andor delivery of support services for 102 facilities totaling approximately 82,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees. Geo operates under REITHealthcare Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 18000 people. To learn more about Geo Group call George Zoley at 561 893 0101 or check out https://www.geogroup.com.

Geo Quarterly Total Revenue

603.12 Million

Geo Group Investment Alerts

Geo Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Geo Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The GEO Group Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth Plans Amidst ...

Geo Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Geo to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Geo Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Geo's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2006-05-04
2006-03-310.10.110.0110 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.070.080.0114 
2005-08-15
2005-06-300.050.060.0120 
View All Earnings Estimates

Geo Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Geo's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Geo's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Geo's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Geo's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Geo Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-12-31
2.1 M
Discovery Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
1.8 M
River Road Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Carronade Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.5 M
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-12-31
1.5 M
Shay Capital Llc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
1.4 M
Newbrook Capital Advisors Lp2024-12-31
1.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
20.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
14.8 M
Note, although Geo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Geo Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 3.83 B.

Geo Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.01 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.11 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.11 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed(1.09)(1.04)
Return On Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.14 

Management Efficiency

Geo Group has Return on Asset of 0.0529 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0529 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0243 %, implying that it generated $0.0243 on every 100 dollars invested. Geo's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Geo manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Geo's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.05, though Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to (1.04). At this time, Geo's Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of March 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.06, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop about 362 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.53  10.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.95  1.91 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.39  13.87 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.18  1.12 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.39  13.87 
Price Fair Value 1.18  1.12 
Enterprise Value4.5 B4.7 B
Geo Group benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.1117
Profit Margin
0.0132
Beta
0.864
Return On Assets
0.0529
Return On Equity
0.0243

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of March, Geo retains the Standard Deviation of 3.08, market risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.001. Geo technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Geo Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Geo middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Geo Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Geo Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Geo insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Geo's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Geo insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Geo Outstanding Bonds

Geo issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Geo Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Geo bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Geo Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Geo Predictive Daily Indicators

Geo intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Geo stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Geo Corporate Filings

10K
28th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
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8K
27th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
13th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
16th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
11th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Geo Forecast Models

Geo's time-series forecasting models are one of many Geo's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Geo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Geo Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Geo prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Geo. By using and applying Geo Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Geo entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.17 

Current Geo Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Geo analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Geo analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
29.2Strong Buy4Odds
Geo Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Geo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Geo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Geo Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Geo conference calls.
Geo Analyst Advice Details

Geo Stock Analysis Indicators

Geo Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Geo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Geo stock analysis, traders can identify Geo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow143.8 M
Long Term Debt1.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.3 B
Tax Provision44.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.349
Property Plant And Equipment NetB
Cash And Short Term Investments94 M
Cash94 M
Accounts Payable64.4 M
Net Debt1.8 B
50 Day M A29.1652
Total Current Liabilities437.5 M
Other Operating Expenses2.1 B
Non Current Assets Total3.2 B
Forward Price Earnings14.9477
Non Currrent Assets Other61.7 M
Stock Based Compensation15.1 M
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
Earnings Share
0.22
Revenue Per Share
18.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0529
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.