Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock Performance
| CHDN Stock | USD 113.43 0.40 0.35% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Churchill Downs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Churchill Downs is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Churchill Downs has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Churchill Downs' skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Churchill Downs performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Churchill Downs Incorporated has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.35 | Five Day Return 2.5 | Year To Date Return (13.80) | Ten Year Return 499.84 | All Time Return 2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0036 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.41 | Dividend Date 2025-01-03 |
| Churchill Downs dividend paid on 3rd of January 2025 | 01/03/2025 |
1 | Acquisition by Bridgeman Ulysses L Jr of 100 shares of Churchill Downs subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/23/2025 |
2 | When is the 2025 Kentucky Derby The Run for the Roses 151st annual event | 02/18/2025 |
3 | Churchill Downs Incorporated Receives Consensus Recommendation of Buy from Analysts | 02/21/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by William Mudd of 13192 shares of Churchill Downs subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/28/2025 |
5 | SRS Capital Advisors Inc. Raises Position in Churchill Downs Incorporated | 03/04/2025 |
6 | Churchill Downs Stock Rating Lowered by StockNews.com | 03/12/2025 |
7 | Churchill Downs Board of Directors Authorizes Share Buyback Plan | 03/13/2025 |
8 | Johnson Investment Counsel Inc. Boosts Holdings in Churchill Downs Incorporated | 03/14/2025 |
9 | American Promise joins Kentucky Derby prospects | 03/17/2025 |
10 | Churchill Downs Incorporated 2025 First QuarterFinancial Results Conference Call Invitation | 03/18/2025 |
11 | Churchill Downs declares 0.06 dividend | 03/19/2025 |
12 | Churchill Downs Inc Announces First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Release Date | 03/21/2025 |
13 | 3 Reasons to Sell CHDN and 1 Stock to Buy Instead | 03/25/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 221.8 M |
Churchill |
Churchill Downs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 13,261 in Churchill Downs Incorporated on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,918) from holding Churchill Downs Incorporated or give up 14.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.3054% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Churchill, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Churchill Downs Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Churchill Downs' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Churchill Downs Incorporated, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Churchill Downs' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1928
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| Negative Returns | CHDN |
Estimated Market Risk
| 1.31 actual daily | 11 89% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.25 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.19 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Churchill Downs is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Churchill Downs by adding Churchill Downs to a well-diversified portfolio.
Churchill Downs Fundamentals Growth
Churchill Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Churchill Downs, and Churchill Downs fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Churchill Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.43 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0616 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 13.08 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 73.49 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 16.29 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.69 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.05 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.73 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 938.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.07 B | ||||
| Net Income | 429.1 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 110.6 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.01 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 839.8 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 5.26 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.67 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.74 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 772.7 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.71 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 8.34 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 7.28 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.08 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (317 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 219.6 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 640.1 M | ||||
About Churchill Downs Performance
By examining Churchill Downs' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Churchill Downs' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Churchill Downs is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.12 | 2.02 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.11 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.39 | 0.41 |
Things to note about Churchill Downs performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Churchill Downs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Churchill Downs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Churchill Downs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Reasons to Sell CHDN and 1 Stock to Buy Instead |
- Analyzing Churchill Downs' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Churchill Downs' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Churchill Downs' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Churchill Downs' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Churchill Downs' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Churchill Downs' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Churchill Downs' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Churchill Downs Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. If investors know Churchill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Churchill Downs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.294 | Dividend Share 0.409 | Earnings Share 5.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.112 |
The market value of Churchill Downs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Churchill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Churchill Downs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Churchill Downs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Churchill Downs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Churchill Downs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Churchill Downs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Churchill Downs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Churchill Downs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.