Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock Beneish M Score

CHDN Stock  USD 112.10  0.09  0.08%   
This module uses fundamental data of Churchill Downs to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Churchill Downs M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Churchill Downs Piotroski F Score and Churchill Downs Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Churchill Downs' Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. At this time, Churchill Downs' Free Cash Flow Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of March 2025, ROIC is likely to grow to 0.85, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.85.
At this time, Churchill Downs' M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Churchill Downs' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Churchill Downs executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Churchill Downs' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.98
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

0.49

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.82

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.81

Focus

Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Churchill Downs' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables57.6 M113.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.9 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets7.6 B7.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets432.9 M412.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total309.3 M325.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment2.4 B2.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization214.9 M204.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative249.6 M237.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities85.4 M89.9 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total878 M839.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt8.3 M8.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Income744.5 M709 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities811.3 M772.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments760.7 M724.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments426.2 M661.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.280.3432
Significantly Down
Very volatile

Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Churchill Downs' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Churchill Downs in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Churchill Downs' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Churchill Downs Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

214.94 Million

At this time, Churchill Downs' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Churchill Downs Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Churchill Downs. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables85.9M108.3M95.5M119.5M113.2M57.6M
Total Revenue1.1B1.6B1.8B2.5B2.7B2.9B
Total Assets2.7B3.0B6.2B7.0B7.3B7.6B
Total Current Assets235.1M501.5M344.5M400.8M412.3M432.9M
Net Debt1.6B1.7B4.5B4.7B839.8M709.1M
Long Term Debt1.1B1.3B2.5B4.8B4.8B5.1B
Operating Income106.5M451.5M561.9M564M709M744.5M
Investments(239.4M)(100.4M)(3.1B)(3.5B)(545.2M)(572.5M)
Gross Profit Margin0.260.180.280.310.320.34

Churchill Downs ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Churchill Downs' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Churchill Downs' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Churchill Downs Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Churchill Downs Incorporated's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Churchill Downs using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Churchill Downs Incorporated based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
When determining whether Churchill Downs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Churchill Downs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock:
Check out Churchill Downs Piotroski F Score and Churchill Downs Altman Z Score analysis.
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Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. If investors know Churchill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Churchill Downs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.294
Dividend Share
0.409
Earnings Share
5.68
Revenue Per Share
36.95
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
The market value of Churchill Downs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Churchill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Churchill Downs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Churchill Downs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Churchill Downs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Churchill Downs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Churchill Downs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Churchill Downs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Churchill Downs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.