Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock Analysis

CHDN Stock  USD 140.22  0.52  0.37%   
Churchill Downs Incorporated is fairly valued with Real Value of 142.32 and Target Price of 144.75. The main objective of Churchill Downs stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Churchill Downs Incorporated is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Churchill Downs' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Churchill Downs stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Churchill Downs is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Churchill Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Churchill Downs Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Churchill Stock Analysis Notes

About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. Churchill Downs recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 22nd of May 2023. Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky. Churchill Downs operates under Gambling classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3800 people. For more info on Churchill Downs Incorporated please contact William Carstanjen at 502 636 4400 or go to https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com.

Churchill Downs Quarterly Total Revenue

628.5 Million

Churchill Downs Investment Alerts

Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from upi.com: Japanese horses make short work of international raiders in Japan Cup

Churchill Downs Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Churchill Downs to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Churchill Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Churchill Downs' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-02-27
2012-12-310.060.05-0.0116 
2007-03-12
2006-12-31-0.04-0.030.0125 
2002-02-11
2001-12-310.090.10.0111 
View All Earnings Estimates

Churchill Downs Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Churchill Downs' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Churchill Downs' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Churchill Downs' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Churchill Downs' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Churchill Downs Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Churchill Downs stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Gambling Idea
Gambling
Equities that are issued by public entities related to gambling services or online betting technology

Churchill Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
1.1 M
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
M
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
947.1 K
Hudson Way Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
924 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
764.3 K
Westfield Capital Management Company, Lp2024-09-30
763.6 K
Nitorum Capital, L.p.2024-09-30
642.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
7.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.7 M
Note, although Churchill Downs' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Churchill Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 10.31 B.

Churchill Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.15 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.2 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.2.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.47  0.49 

Management Efficiency

Churchill Downs has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0625 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0625 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.4137 %, meaning that it created $0.4137 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Churchill Downs' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Churchill Downs manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Churchill Downs' Return On Capital Employed is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of November 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.07, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.07. At this time, Churchill Downs' Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of November 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.50, though Net Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (2.2 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.88  12.48 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(32.24)(30.63)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.76  10.48 
Price Book Value Ratio 11.35  11.92 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.76  10.48 
Price Fair Value 11.35  11.92 
Enterprise Value3.7 B3.9 B
Management at Churchill Downs focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0029
Operating Margin
0.2002
Profit Margin
0.1545
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0029
Beta
0.957

Technical Drivers

As of the 29th of November, Churchill Downs shows the Downside Deviation of 1.22, mean deviation of 0.9966, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0255. Churchill Downs technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Churchill Downs Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Churchill Downs middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Churchill Downs. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Churchill Downs Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Churchill Downs insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Churchill Downs' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Churchill Downs insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Churchill Downs Outstanding Bonds

Churchill Downs issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Churchill Downs uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Churchill bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Churchill Downs Incorporated has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Churchill Downs Predictive Daily Indicators

Churchill Downs intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Churchill Downs stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Churchill Downs Corporate Filings

F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
1st of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
18th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
24th of July 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of July 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Churchill Downs Forecast Models

Churchill Downs' time-series forecasting models are one of many Churchill Downs' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Churchill Downs' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Churchill Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Churchill Downs prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Churchill shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Churchill Downs. By using and applying Churchill Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Churchill entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Net Profit Margin 0.17  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 0.32  0.28 

Current Churchill Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Churchill analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Churchill analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
144.75Strong Buy11Odds
Churchill Downs Incorporated current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Churchill analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Churchill stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Churchill Downs, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Churchill conference calls.
Churchill Analyst Advice Details

Churchill Stock Analysis Indicators

Churchill Downs Incorporated stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Churchill Downs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Churchill Downs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Churchill Downs stock analysis, traders can identify Churchill Downs position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow204.7 M
Long Term Debt4.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity893.6 M
Tax Provision144.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.089
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments144.5 M
Cash144.5 M
Accounts Payable158.5 M
Net Debt4.7 B
50 Day M A139.0962
Total Current Liabilities755.8 M
Other Operating Expenses1.9 B
Non Current Assets Total6.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other19.3 M
Stock Based Compensation32.9 M
When determining whether Churchill Downs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Churchill Downs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Churchill Downs Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. If investors know Churchill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Churchill Downs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.089
Dividend Share
0.382
Earnings Share
5.52
Revenue Per Share
35.989
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.098
The market value of Churchill Downs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Churchill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Churchill Downs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Churchill Downs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Churchill Downs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Churchill Downs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Churchill Downs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Churchill Downs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Churchill Downs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.