Is United Fire Stock a Good Investment?

United Fire Investment Advice

  UFCS
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on United Fire Group stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating United Fire Group. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include United Fire in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine United Fire's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research United Fire's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help United Fire navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Property & Casualty Insurance space and any emerging trends that could impact United Fire's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare United Fire's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how United Fire is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if United Fire pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about United Fire's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in United Fire Group stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if United Fire Group is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on United Fire Group. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure United Fire Group is not overpriced, please validate all United Fire fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that United Fire Group has a number of shares shorted of 256.81 K, we advise you to double-check United Fire Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine United Fire Stock

Researching United Fire's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Fire Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of December 2004.
To determine if United Fire is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding United Fire's research are outlined below:
United Fire Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Fire Group currently holds 50 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. United Fire Group has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about United Fire's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.42 M.
About 66.0% of United Fire outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying George Milligan Acquires Shares of United Fire Group Inc

United Fire Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

3.55 Billion

United Fire uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in United Fire Group. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to United Fire's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact United Fire's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises United Fire's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-08-03
2016-06-300.070.080.0114 
2021-05-05
2021-03-31-0.06-0.030.0350 
2011-05-02
2011-03-310.190.16-0.0315 
2014-08-05
2014-06-300.310.350.0412 
2017-08-02
2017-06-300.110.05-0.0654 
2003-02-18
2002-12-310.250.18-0.0728 
2024-08-06
2024-06-300.01-0.07-0.08800 
2024-05-07
2024-03-310.480.560.0816 

United Fire Target Price Consensus

United target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. United Fire's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   One  Hold
Most United analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand United stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of United Fire Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

United Fire Target Price Projection

United Fire's current and average target prices are 25.98 and 26.00, respectively. The current price of United Fire is the price at which United Fire Group is currently trading. On the other hand, United Fire's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

United Fire Market Quote on 26th of February 2025

Low Price25.68Odds
High Price26.17Odds

25.98

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On United Fire Target Price

Low Estimate23.66Odds
High Estimate28.86Odds

26.0

Historical Lowest Forecast  23.66 Target Price  26.0 Highest Forecast  28.86
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on United Fire Group and the information provided on this page.

United Fire Analyst Ratings

United Fire's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about United Fire stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of United Fire's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. United Fire's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know United Fire's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as United Fire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Fire Group backward and forwards among themselves. United Fire's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase United Fire's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
199.2 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
186.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
180.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
178.2 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-09-30
178.2 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-12-31
162.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
155.8 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
153.2 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
143 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
1.4 M
Note, although United Fire's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

United Fire's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 680.64 M.

Market Cap

505.67 Million

United Fire's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.04)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.13 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.13.
Determining United Fire's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if United Fire is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures United Fire's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of United Fire's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in United Fire's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of United Fire Group. Check United Fire's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of United Fire's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate United Fire's management efficiency

United Fire Group has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0159 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0159 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0818 %, meaning that it created $0.0818 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. United Fire's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well United Fire manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to -0.01 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to -0.01 in 2025. At this time, United Fire's Non Current Assets Total are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to gain to about 1.8 B in 2025, despite the fact that Other Assets are likely to grow to (1.5 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 26.24  21.06 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 26.07  20.81 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(15.76)(14.97)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.79  1.26 
Enterprise Value Multiple(15.76)(14.97)
Price Fair Value 0.79  1.26 
Enterprise Value408.9 M426.3 M
United Fire showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Dividend Yield
0.0246
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0246
Forward Dividend Rate
0.64
Beta
0.536

Basic technical analysis of United Stock

As of the 26th of February, United Fire has the Coefficient Of Variation of 3414.47, risk adjusted performance of 0.0283, and Semi Deviation of 1.95. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of United Fire Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate United Fire Group coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if United Fire is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 25.98 per share. Given that United Fire Group has jensen alpha of 0.0563, we advise you to double-check United Fire Group's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

United Fire's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific United Fire insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on United Fire's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases United Fire insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Sarah Madsen over a week ago
Disposition of 266 shares by Sarah Madsen of United Fire at 27.26 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Cataldo over a month ago
Acquisition by Robert Cataldo of 500 shares of United Fire at 22.265 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kevin Leidwinger over a month ago
Disposition of 2646 shares by Kevin Leidwinger of United Fire at 28.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Walsh Kelly A over two months ago
Disposition of 2104 shares by Walsh Kelly A of United Fire at 28.48 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Corey Ruehle over two months ago
Disposition of 2664 shares by Corey Ruehle of United Fire at 29.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kevin Leidwinger over three months ago
Acquisition by Kevin Leidwinger of 9095 shares of United Fire at 19.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Milligan George D over three months ago
Acquisition by Milligan George D of 222 shares of United Fire at 20.3374 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Foran Matthew R over six months ago
Acquisition by Foran Matthew R of 1000 shares of United Fire at 18.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Milligan George D over six months ago
Acquisition by Milligan George D of 3500 shares of United Fire at 18.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Rupert Kenneth W Jr over six months ago
Disposition of 3567 shares by Rupert Kenneth W Jr of United Fire at 26.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mcintyre Dee Ann over six months ago
Disposition of 2500 shares by Mcintyre Dee Ann of United Fire at 21.0599 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Micah Woolstenhulme over six months ago
Disposition of 1406 shares by Micah Woolstenhulme of United Fire at 23.53 subject to Rule 16b-3

United Fire's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

United Fire issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. United Fire Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most United bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when United Fire Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand United Fire's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing United Fire's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider United Fire's intraday indicators

United Fire intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of United Fire stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

United Fire Corporate Filings

F4
25th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
21st of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F5
14th of February 2025
The annual filing required by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) from company insiders or beneficial owners
ViewVerify
13th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
United Fire time-series forecasting models is one of many United Fire's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary United Fire's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

United Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about United Fire that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through United media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via United internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of United data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of United Fire news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of United Fire relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to United Fire's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive United Fire alpha.

United Fire Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards United Fire can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

United Fire Corporate Management

Jeremy BahlChief VPProfile
Adam VogtVP OfficerProfile
Timothy BorstVice RelationsProfile
Adam BrownAssistant AdministrationProfile
Jolene GrowAssistant MangProfile

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Fire's price analysis, check to measure United Fire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Fire is operating at the current time. Most of United Fire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Fire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Fire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Fire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.