Penns Woods Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| PWOD Stock | USD 27.95 0.24 0.85% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.053 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.21 |
Using Penns Woods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penns Woods Bancorp from the perspective of Penns Woods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Penns Woods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Penns because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Penns Woods after-hype prediction price | USD 27.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Penns |
Penns Woods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Penns Woods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Penns Woods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Penns Woods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Penns Woods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Penns Woods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Penns Woods' historical news coverage. Penns Woods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.07 and 29.69, respectively. We have considered Penns Woods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Penns Woods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Penns Woods Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Penns Woods Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Penns Woods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penns Woods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Penns Woods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.81 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 7 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.95 | 27.88 | 0.25 |
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Penns Woods Hype Timeline
Penns Woods Bancorp is at this time traded for 27.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Penns is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Penns Woods is about 661.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.87. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Penns Woods Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of October 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Penns Woods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Penns Woods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Penns Woods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Penns Woods' future price movements. Getting to know how Penns Woods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Penns Woods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Penns Woods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penns price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penns using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penns charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Penns Woods Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Penns Woods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Penns Woods Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penns Woods based on analysis of Penns Woods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Penns Woods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Penns Woods's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0481 | 0.0572 | 0.0421 | 0.0329 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.83 | 2.48 | 2.09 | 1.98 |
Story Coverage note for Penns Woods
The number of cover stories for Penns Woods depends on current market conditions and Penns Woods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penns Woods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penns Woods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Penns Woods Short Properties
Penns Woods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Penns Woods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penns Woods Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penns Woods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penns Woods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 204.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Penns Stock analysis
When running Penns Woods' price analysis, check to measure Penns Woods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penns Woods is operating at the current time. Most of Penns Woods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penns Woods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penns Woods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penns Woods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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