Medallion Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| MFIN Stock | USD 9.42 0.04 0.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.825 | Wall Street Target Price 12 |
Using Medallion Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medallion Financial Corp from the perspective of Medallion Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Medallion Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Medallion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Medallion Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 9.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Medallion |
Medallion Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Medallion Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Medallion Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Medallion Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Medallion Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Medallion Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Medallion Financial's historical news coverage. Medallion Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.99 and 10.87, respectively. We have considered Medallion Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Medallion Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medallion Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Medallion Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Medallion Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Medallion Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Medallion Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.44 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.42 | 9.43 | 0.21 |
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Medallion Financial Hype Timeline
Medallion Financial Corp is now traded for 9.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Medallion is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Medallion Financial is about 128.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.06. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Medallion Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The firm had 101:100 split on the August 22, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Medallion Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Medallion Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Medallion Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Medallion Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Medallion Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Medallion Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp | (0.27) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.09 | 3.63 | (2.37) | 17.19 | |
| WNEB | Western New England | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.65 | (0.01) | 2.77 | (1.35) | 7.14 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | (5.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.88 | (3.37) | 21.79 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.06 | 3.78 | (3.08) | 12.68 | |
| OFS | OFS Capital Corp | (0.09) | 6 per month | 1.30 | (0.03) | 2.26 | (2.18) | 9.30 |
Medallion Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Medallion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medallion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medallion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Medallion Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Medallion Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Medallion Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Medallion Financial based on analysis of Medallion Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Medallion Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Medallion Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.65 | 1.05 | Dividend Yield | 0.0347 | 0.0509 |
Story Coverage note for Medallion Financial
The number of cover stories for Medallion Financial depends on current market conditions and Medallion Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Medallion Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Medallion Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Medallion Financial Short Properties
Medallion Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Medallion Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Medallion Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Medallion Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medallion Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.9 M |
Check out Medallion Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Medallion Financial. If investors know Medallion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Medallion Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share 12.982 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of Medallion Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Medallion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Medallion Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Medallion Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Medallion Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Medallion Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Medallion Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medallion Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medallion Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.