Contextlogic Stock Price Prediction
| LOGC Stock | USD 6.93 0.15 2.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (2.86) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1583 | Wall Street Target Price 5.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.91) |
Using Contextlogic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Contextlogic from the perspective of Contextlogic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Contextlogic using Contextlogic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Contextlogic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Contextlogic's stock price.
Contextlogic Implied Volatility | 1.77 |
Contextlogic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Contextlogic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Contextlogic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Contextlogic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Contextlogic's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Contextlogic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Contextlogic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Contextlogic after-hype prediction price | USD 6.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Contextlogic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Contextlogic will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2025-01-17 option contract. With Contextlogic trading at USD 6.93, that is roughly USD 0.007666 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Contextlogic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Contextlogic options at the current volatility level of 1.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Contextlogic |
Contextlogic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Contextlogic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Contextlogic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Contextlogic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Contextlogic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Contextlogic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Contextlogic's historical news coverage. Contextlogic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.54 and 9.36, respectively. We have considered Contextlogic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Contextlogic is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Contextlogic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Contextlogic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Contextlogic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Contextlogic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Contextlogic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.41 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.93 | 6.95 | 0.29 |
|
Contextlogic Hype Timeline
Contextlogic is now traded for 6.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Contextlogic is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Contextlogic is about 897.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.01. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 287 M. Net Loss for the year was (317 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 166 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Contextlogic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Contextlogic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Contextlogic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Contextlogic's future price movements. Getting to know how Contextlogic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Contextlogic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKYW | SkyWest | 1.29 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.19 | 3.80 | (2.42) | 11.66 | |
| AAL | American Airlines Group | (0.24) | 7 per month | 1.21 | 0.26 | 6.14 | (2.47) | 19.27 | |
| GLXZ | Galaxy Gaming | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 1.84 | (1.79) | 5.06 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | 0.71 | 9 per month | 1.32 | 0.08 | 2.74 | (2.41) | 6.43 | |
| NOKFF | Nok Airlines Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ICAGY | International Consolidated Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.39 | 3.70 | (1.99) | 7.93 | |
| MYPS | Playstudios | 0.12 | 7 per month | 3.10 | 0.08 | 7.56 | (5.66) | 14.99 |
Contextlogic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Contextlogic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Contextlogic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Contextlogic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Contextlogic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Contextlogic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Contextlogic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Contextlogic based on analysis of Contextlogic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Contextlogic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Contextlogic's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Current Ratio | 2.51 | 2.09 | 2.41 | 2.29 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 1.26 | 0.72 | 0.64 | 0.91 |
Story Coverage note for Contextlogic
The number of cover stories for Contextlogic depends on current market conditions and Contextlogic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Contextlogic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Contextlogic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Contextlogic Short Properties
Contextlogic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Contextlogic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Contextlogic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Contextlogic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Contextlogic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 382 M |
Complementary Tools for Contextlogic Stock analysis
When running Contextlogic's price analysis, check to measure Contextlogic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Contextlogic is operating at the current time. Most of Contextlogic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Contextlogic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Contextlogic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Contextlogic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |