Contextlogic Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LOGC Stock  USD 7.08  0.03  0.42%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Contextlogic is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Contextlogic buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LOGC positions.
  
Check out Contextlogic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Contextlogic Stock refer to our How to Trade Contextlogic Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Contextlogic and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Contextlogic. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Contextlogic Buy or Sell Advice

The Contextlogic recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Contextlogic. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Contextlogic or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Contextlogic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ContextlogicBuy Contextlogic
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Contextlogic has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1335, Jensen Alpha of 0.3602, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3081, Sortino Ratio of 0.1461 and Treynor Ratio of 8.15
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Contextlogic. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Contextlogic is not overpriced, please confirm all Contextlogic fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Contextlogic has a number of shares shorted of 2.81 M, we suggest you to validate Contextlogic market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Contextlogic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Contextlogic was previously known as WISH Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol WISH.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 287 M. Net Loss for the year was (317 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 166 M.
Contextlogic currently holds about 38.85 M in cash with (341 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.18.
Contextlogic has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ContextLogic Inc. Is Breakeven Near

Contextlogic Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Contextlogic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Contextlogic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Contextlogic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Contextlogic price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Contextlogic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Contextlogic.
Mean Return
0.37
Value At Risk
-3.62
Potential Upside
4.05
Standard Deviation
2.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Contextlogic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Contextlogic Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Shay Capital Llc2024-09-30
273.1 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
266.7 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
234.1 K
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
230.6 K
Capricorn Fund Managers Ltd2024-09-30
220 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
161.5 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-09-30
157 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
148.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
145.2 K
Steel Partners Holdings Lp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Note, although Contextlogic's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Contextlogic Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments165M(1M)(47M)113M130.0M136.4M
Change In Cash1.2B(947M)(505M)(275M)(247.5M)(235.1M)
Free Cash Flow(30.9M)(953M)(424M)(344M)(309.6M)(325.1M)
Depreciation10M12M9M6M3.6M6.1M
Other Non Cash Items6M8M15M(2M)(2.3M)(2.2M)
Capital Expenditures20M11M2M3M2.7M2.6M
Net Income(745M)(361M)(384M)(317M)(285.3M)(299.6M)
End Period Cash Flow2.0B1.0B513M238M214.2M203.5M
Change To Netincome11M508M156M92M105.8M154.2M

Contextlogic Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Contextlogic or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Contextlogic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Contextlogic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Contextlogic Volatility Alert

Contextlogic currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.14 and Jensen Alpha of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Contextlogic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Contextlogic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Contextlogic Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Contextlogic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Contextlogic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Contextlogic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Contextlogic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Contextlogic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Contextlogic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Contextlogic to competition
FundamentalsContextlogicPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.66-0.31
Return On Asset-0.26-0.14
Profit Margin(1.47) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.39) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation36.89 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding26.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.72 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions50.31 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.81 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.53) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.22 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.95 X11.42 X
Revenue287 M9.43 B
Gross Profit166 M27.38 B
EBITDA(324 M)3.9 B
Net Income(317 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents38.85 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.82 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(341 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.78 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.67) X3.12 X
Target Price5.9
Number Of Employees45218.84 K
Beta2.06-0.15
Market Capitalization186.89 M19.03 B
Total Asset423 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.25 B)9.33 B
Working Capital214 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.47 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Parisi Richard S of 64801 shares of Contextlogic subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Contextlogic Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Contextlogic . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Contextlogic Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Contextlogic? Buying financial instruments such as Contextlogic Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Contextlogic in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Trading
Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Contextlogic offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Contextlogic's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Contextlogic Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Contextlogic Stock:
Check out Contextlogic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Contextlogic Stock refer to our How to Trade Contextlogic Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Contextlogic. If investors know Contextlogic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Contextlogic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.67)
Revenue Per Share
3.818
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.91)
Return On Assets
(0.26)
Return On Equity
(0.66)
The market value of Contextlogic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Contextlogic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Contextlogic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Contextlogic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Contextlogic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Contextlogic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Contextlogic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Contextlogic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Contextlogic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.