Live Oak Bancshares Stock Price Prediction
| LOB Stock | USD 28.22 0.60 2.17% |
Momentum 28
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.61 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.38 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4333 | Wall Street Target Price 41 |
Using Live Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Live Oak Bancshares from the perspective of Live Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Live Oak using Live Oak's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Live using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Live Oak's stock price.
Live Oak Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Live Oak's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Live. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Live Oak stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 40.1564 | Short Percent 0.0426 | Short Ratio 5.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 35.309 |
Live Oak Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Live Oak's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Live. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Live can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Live Oak Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Live Oak's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Live Oak.
Live Oak Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
Live Oak's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Live Oak Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Live Oak's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Live Oak stock will not fluctuate a lot when Live Oak's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Live Oak to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Live because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Live Oak after-hype prediction price | USD 27.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Live contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Live Oak Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Live Oak trading at USD 28.22, that is roughly USD 0.0148 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Live Oak's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Live Oak Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Live |
Live Oak After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Live Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Live Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Live Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Live Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Live Oak's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Live Oak's historical news coverage. Live Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.23 and 30.63, respectively. We have considered Live Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Live Oak is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Live Oak Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Live Oak Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Live Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Live Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Live Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 2.70 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.22 | 27.93 | 1.03 |
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Live Oak Hype Timeline
On the 12th of March 2025 Live Oak Bancshares is traded for 28.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Live is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.75%. The volatility of related hype on Live Oak is about 5704.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.18. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Live Oak Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Live Oak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Live Oak Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Live Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Live Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Live Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Live Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Live Oak Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Live price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Live using various technical indicators. When you analyze Live charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Live Oak Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Live Oak stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Live Oak Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Live Oak based on analysis of Live Oak hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Live Oak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Live Oak's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004174 | 0.002639 | 0.003035 | 0.002883 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.22 | 16.89 | 19.42 | 20.39 |
Story Coverage note for Live Oak
The number of cover stories for Live Oak depends on current market conditions and Live Oak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Live Oak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Live Oak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Live Oak Short Properties
Live Oak's future price predictability will typically decrease when Live Oak's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Live Oak Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Live Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Live Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Complementary Tools for Live Stock analysis
When running Live Oak's price analysis, check to measure Live Oak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Live Oak is operating at the current time. Most of Live Oak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Live Oak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Live Oak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Live Oak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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