Financial Institutions Stock Price Prediction

FISI Stock  USD 26.05  0.36  1.40%   
As of 16th of March 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of Financial Institutions' share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Financial Institutions, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Financial Institutions' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Financial Institutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Financial Institutions' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8033
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.31
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.7967
Wall Street Target Price
33
Using Financial Institutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Financial Institutions from the perspective of Financial Institutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Financial Institutions using Financial Institutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Financial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Financial Institutions' stock price.

Financial Institutions Implied Volatility

    
  0.69  
Financial Institutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Financial Institutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Financial Institutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Financial Institutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Financial Institutions' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Financial Institutions to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Financial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Financial Institutions after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Financial contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Financial Institutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Financial Institutions trading at USD 26.05, that is roughly USD 0.0112 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Financial Institutions' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Financial Institutions options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Financial Institutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Financial Stock please use our How to Invest in Financial Institutions guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Financial Institutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4529.3730.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0125.6027.20
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.2131.0034.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.720.730.74
Details

Financial Institutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Financial Institutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Financial Institutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Financial Institutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Financial Institutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Financial Institutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Financial Institutions' historical news coverage. Financial Institutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.44 and 27.62, respectively. We have considered Financial Institutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.05
26.03
After-hype Price
27.62
Upside
Financial Institutions is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Financial Institutions is based on 3 months time horizon.

Financial Institutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Financial Institutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Financial Institutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Financial Institutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.59
  0.02 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.05
26.03
0.08 
1,445  
Notes

Financial Institutions Hype Timeline

Financial Institutions is currently traded for 26.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Financial is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Financial Institutions is about 2592.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.04. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Financial Institutions has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.91. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.66. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Financial Institutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Financial Stock please use our How to Invest in Financial Institutions guide.

Financial Institutions Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Financial Institutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Financial Institutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Financial Institutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Financial Institutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FCCOFirst Community(0.39)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.41 (3.73) 10.26 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.34 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.28 (2.17) 6.01 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.29)8 per month 1.04  0.06  1.17 (1.77) 4.77 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp 0.02 9 per month 0.00  0.01  2.68 (2.76) 9.99 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 2.23  0.06  5.67 (4.53) 13.32 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings(0.55)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.77 (3.03) 6.80 
KRNYKearny Financial Corp 0.06 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.01 (3.65) 9.59 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.13)8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.33 (3.27) 8.15 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.88 8 per month 1.53  0.23  3.27 (3.35) 10.36 
FNWDFinward Bancorp(0.02)7 per month 0.00  0.01  2.12 (1.97) 8.51 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.95)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.38 (3.77) 11.49 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.1 5 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.53 (2.02) 22.46 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HVBCHV Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Financial Institutions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Financial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Financial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Financial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Financial Institutions Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Financial Institutions stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Financial Institutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Financial Institutions based on analysis of Financial Institutions hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Financial Institutions's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Financial Institutions's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05080.06030.0034090.003239
Price To Sales Ratio1.761.641.371.3

Story Coverage note for Financial Institutions

The number of cover stories for Financial Institutions depends on current market conditions and Financial Institutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Financial Institutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Financial Institutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Financial Institutions Short Properties

Financial Institutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Financial Institutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Financial Institutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Financial Institutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Financial Institutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments966.1 M

Complementary Tools for Financial Stock analysis

When running Financial Institutions' price analysis, check to measure Financial Institutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Financial Institutions is operating at the current time. Most of Financial Institutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Financial Institutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Financial Institutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Financial Institutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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