Civista Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CIVB Stock  USD 19.36  0.17  0.89%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Civista Bancshares is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Civista Bancshares buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CIVB positions.
  
Check out Civista Bancshares Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Civista Stock refer to our How to Trade Civista Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Civista and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Civista Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Civista Bancshares Buy or Sell Advice

The Civista recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Civista Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Civista Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Civista Bancshares' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Civista BancsharesBuy Civista Bancshares
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Civista Bancshares has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0203 and Treynor Ratio of (0.28)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Civista Bancshares and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Civista Bancshares is not overpriced, please confirm all Civista Bancshares fundamentals, including its book value per share, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and price to earnings to growth . Given that Civista Bancshares has a number of shares shorted of 150.69 K, we suggest you to validate Civista Bancshares market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Civista Bancshares Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Civista Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Michael Mulford of 1004 shares of Civista Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3

Civista Bancshares Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Civista Bancshares' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Civista Bancshares' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Civista Bancshares daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Civista Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Civista Bancshares returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Civista Bancshares.
Mean Return
-0.21
Value At Risk
-3.88
Potential Upside
2.63
Standard Deviation
1.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Civista Bancshares historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Civista Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc2024-12-31
150.5 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
149.8 K
Summit Financial Strategies, Inc2024-12-31
143.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
138.8 K
Maltese Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
124.7 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
124.4 K
Elizabeth Park Capital Advisors, Ltd2024-12-31
117 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
115.8 K
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
114.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
858 K
Note, although Civista Bancshares' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Civista Bancshares Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash91.0M127.2M(220.9M)17.0M2.7M2.9M
Free Cash Flow30.2M38.8M18.7M59.3M48.2M50.7M
Depreciation3.2M2.9M5.8M12.3M10.5M11.0M
Other Non Cash Items2.9M(6.7M)685K(131K)7.0M7.4M
Dividends Paid7.1M8.0M8.5M9.6M10.1M5.6M
Capital Expenditures2.0M1.9M6.5M3.4M4.2M4.4M
Net Income32.2M40.5M39.4M43.0M31.7M33.3M
End Period Cash Flow139.5M264.2M43.4M60.4M63.2M49.2M
Change To Inventory151K663K(2.3M)1.5M1.4M1.4M
Investments(340.0M)(204.8M)(39.1M)(419.4M)(258.8M)(245.9M)
Change Receivables(370K)(2.3M)2.0M(2.0M)(1.8M)(1.8M)
Net Borrowings116.5M(91.3M)20.0M(136.1M)(122.5M)(116.4M)
Change To Netincome361K83K6.7M3.4M3.9M4.1M

Civista Bancshares Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Civista Bancshares or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Civista Bancshares' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Civista stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
1.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Civista Bancshares Volatility Alert

Civista Bancshares exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.76 and kurtosis of 0.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Civista Bancshares' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Civista Bancshares' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Civista Bancshares Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Civista Bancshares' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Civista Bancshares' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Civista Bancshares and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Civista Bancshares or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Civista Bancshares' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Civista Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Civista Bancshares to competition
FundamentalsCivista BancsharesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0833-0.31
Return On Asset0.008-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation693.35 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding15.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted150.69 K4.71 M
Price To Earning10.64 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.01 X11.42 X
Revenue151.91 M9.43 B
Gross Profit149.09 M27.38 B
EBITDA(6 K)3.9 B
Net Income31.68 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents245.39 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share15.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt450.88 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.51 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share25.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations48.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.01 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.93 X4.89 X
Target Price24.92
Number Of Employees52718.84 K
Beta0.78-0.15
Market Capitalization299.68 M19.03 B
Total Asset494.25 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings205.41 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.04 %
Note: Acquisition by Michael Mulford of 1004 shares of Civista Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Civista Bancshares Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Civista . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Civista Bancshares Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Civista Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as Civista Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Civista Bancshares in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Education
Education Theme
Companies involved in apprenticeship, education, tutoring, schooling, online universities, and other learning services. The Education theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Education Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Civista Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Civista Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Civista Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Civista Bancshares Stock:
Check out Civista Bancshares Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Civista Stock refer to our How to Trade Civista Stock guide.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Civista Bancshares. If investors know Civista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Civista Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.016
Dividend Share
0.64
Earnings Share
2.01
Revenue Per Share
9.687
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
The market value of Civista Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Civista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Civista Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Civista Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Civista Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Civista Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Civista Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Civista Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Civista Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.