Discover Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.62
| DFS Stock | USD 176.92 0.34 0.19% |
Discover |
Discover Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 117.62
The tendency of Discover Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 117.62 or more in 90 days |
| 176.92 | 90 days | 117.62 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Discover Financial to drop to $ 117.62 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Discover Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Discover Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Discover Financial price to stay between $ 117.62 and its current price of $176.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Discover Financial Services has a beta of -0.037 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Discover Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Discover Financial Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Discover Financial Services has an alpha of 0.4348, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Discover Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Discover Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Discover Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Discover Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Discover Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Discover Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Discover Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Discover Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Discover Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Discover Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Discover Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Discover Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 5th of December 2024 Discover Financial paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Discover Financial Services to Announce Q4 2024 Earnings |
Discover Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Discover Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Discover Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Discover Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.7 B |
Discover Financial Technical Analysis
Discover Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Discover Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Discover Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Discover Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Discover Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Discover Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Discover Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Discover Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Discover Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Discover Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Discover Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Discover Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 5th of December 2024 Discover Financial paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Discover Financial Services to Announce Q4 2024 Earnings |
Additional Tools for Discover Stock Analysis
When running Discover Financial's price analysis, check to measure Discover Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Discover Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Discover Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Discover Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Discover Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Discover Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.