Harford Bank Stock Volatility
| HFBK Stock | USD 33.75 0.06 0.18% |
Harford Bank holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0167, which attests that the entity had a -0.0167% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Harford Bank exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Harford Bank's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 0.5836, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.27) to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Harford Bank's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Harford Bank Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Harford daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Harford's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Harford Bank volatility.
Harford |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Harford Bank at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Harford stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Harford Pink Sheet
| 0.64 | IBM | International Business Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | MCD | McDonalds Fiscal Year End 3rd of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | BA | Boeing Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | MSFT | Microsoft | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | MRK | Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | JPHLF | Japan Post Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | MMM | 3M Company Fiscal Year End 28th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | PBCRY | Bank Central Asia | PairCorr |
Harford Bank Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Harford Bank's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Harford pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Harford pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Harford Bank's beta of 0.0693 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Harford Bank pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Harford Bank exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.17 and kurtosis of 4.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Harford Bank's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Harford Bank's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Harford Bank Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Harford Bank correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Harford Beta |
Harford standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.6 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Harford Bank's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Harford Bank's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in harford pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Harford Bank.
Harford Bank Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Harford Bank pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Harford Bank's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Harford Bank's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Harford Bank's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Harford Bank's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Harford Bank's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Harford Bank's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Harford Bank's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Harford Bank Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Harford Bank Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Harford Bank has a beta of 0.0693 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Harford Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Harford Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Harford Bank or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Harford Bank's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Harford pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Harford Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Harford Bank Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Harford Bank Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Harford Bank is -6000.65. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.36 and standard deviation of 0.6. The mean deviation of Harford Bank is currently at 0.34. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Harford Bank Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Harford Bank historical daily return volatility represents how much of Harford Bank pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 0.5976% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7978% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Harford Bank Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Harford Bank or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Harford Bank may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Harford's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Harford Bank and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Harford Bank fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Harford Bank offers commercial and retail banking products and services for individuals, businesses, and governmental units. Harford Bank was founded in 1964 and is based in Aberdeen, Maryland. Harford Bank operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 81 people.
Harford Bank's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Harford Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Harford Bank's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Harford Bank's volatility to invest better
Higher Harford Bank's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Harford Bank stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Harford Bank stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Harford Bank investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Harford Bank's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Harford Bank's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Harford Bank Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.8 and is 1.33 times more volatile than Harford Bank. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Harford Bank. You can use Harford Bank to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Harford Bank to be traded at $33.41 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Harford Bank and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harford Bank and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Harford Bank Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Harford Bank's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harford Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Harford Bank pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.27) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3213 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (6,142) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5836 | |||
| Variance | 0.3406 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Harford Bank Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Harford Bank as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Harford Bank's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Harford Bank's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Harford Bank.
Other Information on Investing in Harford Pink Sheet
Harford Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harford Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harford with respect to the benefits of owning Harford Bank security.