Harford Bank Stock Price Prediction
| HFBK Stock | USD 33.75 0.06 0.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Harford Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Harford Bank from the perspective of Harford Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Harford Bank to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Harford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Harford Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 33.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Harford |
Harford Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Harford Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Harford Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Harford Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Harford Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Harford Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Harford Bank's historical news coverage. Harford Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.15 and 34.35, respectively. We have considered Harford Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Harford Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Harford Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Harford Bank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Harford Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Harford Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Harford Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.75 | 33.75 | 0.00 |
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Harford Bank Hype Timeline
Harford Bank is currently traded for 33.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Harford is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Harford Bank is about 388.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.75. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Harford Bank last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The entity had 103:100 split on the 30th of November 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Harford Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Harford Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Harford Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Harford Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Harford Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Harford Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCFC | CCSB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.82 | (1.23) | 7.12 | |
| DWNX | Delhi Bank Corp | 0.99 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.49 | (0.15) | 1.47 | |
| BKUT | Bank of Utica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 3.29 | 0.00 | 13.93 | |
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 6.53 | |
| FMFP | First Community Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.82 | (3.76) | 14.87 | |
| WBZB | Washington Business Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | |
| BOID | Bank of Idaho | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 6.38 | |
| FBSI | First Bancshares | 0.57 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.37 | (1.09) | 15.57 | |
| CIWV | Citizens Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.12 | 4.22 | (2.15) | 18.86 | |
| NODB | North Dallas Bank | 2.13 | 17 per month | 0.42 | 0.09 | 0.63 | (0.31) | 7.28 | |
| FSDK | The First Citizens | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NACB | National Capital Bank | (2.67) | 10 per month | 33.90 | 0.32 | 304.85 | (75.37) | 381.80 | |
| CMHF | Community Heritage Financial | 0.99 | 8 per month | 0.12 | 0.16 | 2.28 | (0.29) | 4.55 |
Harford Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Harford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Harford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Harford Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Harford Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Harford Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harford Bank based on analysis of Harford Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Harford Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Harford Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Harford Bank
The number of cover stories for Harford Bank depends on current market conditions and Harford Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Harford Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Harford Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Harford Bank Short Properties
Harford Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Harford Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Harford Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Harford Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harford Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Harford Pink Sheet
Harford Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harford Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harford with respect to the benefits of owning Harford Bank security.