German American Bancorp Stock Volatility
| GABC Stock | USD 38.59 0.39 1.02% |
German American Bancorp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0683, which attests that the entity had a -0.0683 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. German American Bancorp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out German American's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.29), risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Standard Deviation of 1.5 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to German American's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
German American Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of German daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use German's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of German American volatility.
German |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, German American's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to German American's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as German American can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of German American at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of German American's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with German Stock
| 0.75 | AX | Axos Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | BY | Byline Bancorp | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | RF | Regions Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | VABK | Virginia National | PairCorr |
Moving against German Stock
German American Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
German American's beta coefficient measures the volatility of German stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents German stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, German American's beta of 0.71 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk German American stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. German American Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.22 and kurtosis of 2.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure German American's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact German American's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze German American Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days German American correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)German Beta |
German standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.37 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by German American's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of German American's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in german stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in German American.
Using German Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on German American grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of German American at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of German Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge German American's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding German American will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
German American's PUT expiring on 2025-06-20
Profit |
| German American Price At Expiration |
Current German American Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | GABC250620P00030000 | -0.18295 | 0.020782 | 1 | 2025-06-20 | 0.0 - 3.0 | 0.0 | View |
Put | GABC250620P00035000 | -0.316199 | 0.035193 | 2 | 2025-06-20 | 0.0 - 4.8 | 0.0 | View |
German American Bancorp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which German American stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with German American's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of German American's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of German American's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures German American's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict German American's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for German American's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on German American's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. German American Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
German American Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days German American has a beta of 0.7099 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, German American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding German American Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to German American or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that German American's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a German stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
German American Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a German American Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.German American Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of German American is -1464.62. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.87 and standard deviation of 1.37. The mean deviation of German American Bancorp is currently at 0.97. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.89
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
German American Stock Return Volatility
German American historical daily return volatility represents how much of German American stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.369% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About German American Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of German American or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of German American may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to German's beta indicator, it measures the risk of German American and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of German American fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 3.9 M | 2.3 M | |
| Market Cap | 1.2 B | 1.3 B |
German American's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on German Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much German American's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize German American's volatility to invest better
Higher German American's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of German American Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. German American Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of German American Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in German American's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of German American's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
German American Investment Opportunity
German American Bancorp has a volatility of 1.37 and is 1.61 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than German American. You can use German American Bancorp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of German American to be traded at $42.45 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between German American Bancorp and DJI is 0.42 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding German American Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
German American Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of German American's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in German American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of German American stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.29) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (727.65) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
German American Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against German American as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. German American's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, German American's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to German American Bancorp.
Complementary Tools for German Stock analysis
When running German American's price analysis, check to measure German American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy German American is operating at the current time. Most of German American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of German American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move German American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of German American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world |