Murphy Oil Valuation

MUR Stock  USD 26.66  0.62  2.38%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Murphy Oil secures a last-minute Real Value of $34.6 per share. The latest price of the firm is $26.66. Our model forecasts the value of Murphy Oil from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0898, current valuation of 5.44 B, and Profit Margin of 0.13 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Murphy Oil's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7312
Enterprise Value
5.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
3.5345
Price Sales
1.2582
Forward PE
7.9302
Undervalued
Today
26.66
Please note that Murphy Oil's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Murphy Oil is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Murphy Oil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Murphy stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Murphy Oil. Since Murphy Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Murphy Stock. However, Murphy Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  26.66 Real  34.6 Target  41.47 Hype  26.7
The intrinsic value of Murphy Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Murphy Oil's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
34.60
Real Value
37.03
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Murphy Oil helps investors to forecast how Murphy stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Murphy Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Murphy Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.260.541.19
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2726.7029.13
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
37.7441.4746.03
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Murphy Oil's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Murphy Oil's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Murphy Oil's closest peers.

Murphy Oil Cash

415.36 Million

Murphy Valuation Trend

Murphy Oil's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Murphy Oil's financial worth over time. Using both Murphy Oil's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Murphy Revenue by Product

Murphy Oil Total Value Analysis

Murphy Oil is now anticipated to have company total value of 5.44 B with market capitalization of 3.8 B, debt of 2.07 B, and cash on hands of 492 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Murphy Oil fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.44 B
3.8 B
2.07 B
492 M

Murphy Oil Investor Information

About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Murphy Oil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2025. The firm had 1158:1000 split on the 3rd of September 2013. Murphy Oil may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.3 B1.7 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

Murphy Oil Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Murphy Oil has an asset utilization ratio of 31.33 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.31 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Murphy Oil is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Murphy Oil Ownership Allocation

Murphy Oil maintains a total of 145.86 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Murphy Oil outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Murphy Oil to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Murphy Oil. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Murphy Oil as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on October 14, 2024, Representative Michael McCaul of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Murphy Oil's common stock.

Murphy Oil Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.03 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 486.49 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.26 B.

Murphy Oil Past Distributions to stockholders

About Murphy Oil Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Murphy Oil's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Murphy Oil based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Murphy Oil. We calculate exposure to Murphy Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Murphy Oil's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB3.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.19  0.20 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Gross Profit Margin 0.68  0.72 

Murphy Oil Quarterly Retained Earnings

6.77 Billion

Murphy Oil's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Murphy Oil's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Murphy Oil can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Murphy Oil represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Murphy, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Murphy Oil Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Murphy Oil's Dividend Payout Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/18/2025, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 10.09, while Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 147.9 M. . At this time, Murphy Oil's Earnings Yield is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/18/2025, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 11.71, while Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 3.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid180 M147.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.44  0.46 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 9.61  10.09 
There are various types of dividends Murphy Oil can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Murphy shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Murphy Oil directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Murphy pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Murphy Oil by the value of the dividends paid out.

Murphy Oil Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Murphy Oil does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.54
Forward Price Earnings7.9302

Murphy Oil Current Valuation Indicators

Murphy Oil's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Murphy Oil's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Murphy Oil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Murphy Oil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Murphy Oil's worth.

Additional Tools for Murphy Stock Analysis

When running Murphy Oil's price analysis, check to measure Murphy Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.