Murphy Oil Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MUR Stock | USD 26.49 0.00 0.00% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Murphy Oil is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Murphy Oil within the specified time frame.
Check out Murphy Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Murphy Stock, please use our How to Invest in Murphy Oil guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Murphy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Murphy Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Murphy |
Execute Murphy Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Murphy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Murphy Oil. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Murphy Oil or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Murphy Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Murphy Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Murphy Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Murphy Oil has 2.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is OK given its current industry classification. Murphy Oil has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Murphy to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 84.0% of Murphy Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Clearway Energy Q4 Earnings Lag Estimates, Revenues Rise YY |
Murphy Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Murphy Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Murphy Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Murphy Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Murphy Oil price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Murphy Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Murphy Oil.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -3.63 | Potential Upside | 3.25 | Standard Deviation | 2.06 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Murphy Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Murphy Stock Institutional Investors
The Murphy Oil's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Murphy Oil's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Cadence Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 19.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 16.9 M |
Murphy Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 6.0M | 12.8M | (1.5M) | 329K | 378.4K | 397.3K | |
| Change In Cash | 3.8M | 210.6M | (29.2M) | (174.9M) | 106.5M | 111.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (70.1M) | 734.0M | 1.1B | 647.2M | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Depreciation | 987.2M | 795.1B | 776.8B | 861.6M | 865.8M | 822.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.4B | (857.2B) | (865.3B) | 1.1B | 259.3M | 272.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 96.0M | 77.2M | 128.2M | (171.0M) | (180.0M) | (171.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 872.8M | 688.2M | 1.1B | 1.1B | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (1.3B) | 47.5M | 1.1B | 661.6M | 486.5M | 320.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 310.6M | 521.2M | 492.0M | 317.1M | 423.6M | 427.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | (1.1B) | 954.6M | 516.7M | 396.9M | 456.5M | 309.4M | |
| Investments | (859.0M) | (417.7M) | (1.1B) | (998.7M) | (898.8M) | (853.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (331.3M) | 187.2M | (535.2M) | (648.3M) | (583.5M) | (554.3M) |
Murphy Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Murphy Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Murphy Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Murphy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Murphy Oil Volatility Alert
Murphy Oil exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Murphy Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Murphy Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Murphy Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Murphy Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Murphy Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Murphy Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Murphy Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Murphy Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Murphy Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Murphy Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Murphy Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0898 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0421 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.57 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 145.84 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.44 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.93 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.03 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.83 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.25 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 486.49 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 492 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.78 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.07 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.70 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 35.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.73 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.52 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.65 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.31 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 37.12 | |
| Beta | 2.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.03 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.67 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.77 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (94.35 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 854.16 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 9584 shares by Louis Utsch of Murphy Oil at 28.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Murphy Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Murphy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0553 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.01 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.78) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.46 |
About Murphy Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Murphy Oil? Buying financial instruments such as Murphy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Murphy Stock Analysis
When running Murphy Oil's price analysis, check to measure Murphy Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.