Green Plains Renewable Stock Analysis

GPRE Stock  USD 5.05  0.01  0.20%   
Green Plains Renewable is overvalued with Real Value of 4.6 and Target Price of 20.69. The main objective of Green Plains stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Green Plains Renewable is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Green Plains' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Green Plains stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Green Plains' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Plains Renewable. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Green Stock Analysis Notes

About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Plains Renewable recorded a loss per share of 1.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. Green Plains operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 859 people. To learn more about Green Plains Renewable call Todd Becker at 402 884 8700 or check out https://www.gpreinc.com.

Green Plains Quarterly Total Revenue

584.02 Million

Green Plains Renewable Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Green Plains' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Green Plains Renewable or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Green Plains generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Green Plains has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (81.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130.45 M.
Green Plains Renewable currently holds about 533.12 M in cash with (29.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is Green Plains Inc. the Best Small-Cap Value Stock to Buy Now

Green Plains Renewable Upcoming and Recent Events

7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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7th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Green Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Plains' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2006-10-16
2006-09-30-0.02-0.010.0150 
2013-07-30
2013-06-300.170.190.0211 
2024-02-07
2023-12-310.150.12-0.0320 
View All Earnings Estimates

Green Plains Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Green Plains' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Green Plains' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Green Plains' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Green Plains' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Green Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Kailix Advisors Llc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Centerbook Partners Lp2024-12-31
1.2 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
973.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
844.8 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
804.2 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
798.1 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-12-31
704.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
10 M
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-12-31
5.2 M
Note, although Green Plains' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Green Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 327.53 M.

Green Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.07) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.10)(0.09)

Management Efficiency

Green Plains Renewable has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0263) % which means that it has lost $0.0263 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0871) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Green Plains' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Green Plains manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.04. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.03. At present, Green Plains' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangibles To Total Assets is expected to grow to 0.03, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 943.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.71  22.67 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.71  21.47 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.60  38.20 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.70  0.79 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.60  38.20 
Price Fair Value 0.70  0.79 
Enterprise Value83.2 M47.3 M
The strategic initiatives led by Green Plains' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.07)
Profit Margin
(0.03)
Beta
1.556
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.09)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of March, Green Plains retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18), market risk adjusted performance of (0.61), and Standard Deviation of 4.76. Green Plains technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Green Plains Renewable mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and potential upside to decide if Green Plains is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 5.05 per share. Given that Green Plains Renewable has information ratio of (0.22), we strongly advise you to confirm Green Plains Renewable's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Green Plains Renewable Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Green Plains middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Green Plains Renewable. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Green Plains Renewable Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Plains insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Plains' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Plains insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Green Plains Outstanding Bonds

Green Plains issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Green Plains Renewable uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Plains Renewable has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Green Plains Predictive Daily Indicators

Green Plains intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Plains stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Green Plains Corporate Filings

F3
19th of March 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
17th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
4th of March 2025
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify
8K
28th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
10th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Green Plains Forecast Models

Green Plains' time-series forecasting models are one of many Green Plains' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Green Plains' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Green Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Green Plains prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Green Plains. By using and applying Green Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Green entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.04)
Gross Profit Margin 0.05  0.07 

Current Green Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Green analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Green analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
20.69Strong Buy9Odds
Green Plains Renewable current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Green analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Green stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Green Plains Renewable, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Green conference calls.
Green Analyst Advice Details

Green Stock Analysis Indicators

Green Plains Renewable stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Plains stock analysis, traders can identify Green Plains position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow378.8 M
Long Term Debt432.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity865.2 M
Tax Provision6.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.977
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments173 M
Cash173 M
Accounts Payable154.8 M
Net Debt474.1 M
50 Day M A7.0054
Total Current Liabilities385.7 M
Other Operating Expenses2.5 B
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings9.5238
Non Currrent Assets Other98.5 M
Stock Based Compensation8.3 M

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