Green Plains Renewable Stock Performance
| GPRE Stock | USD 5.33 0.07 1.33% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0433, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Green Plains are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Green Plains is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Green Plains Renewable has a negative expected return of -0.86%. Please make sure to check out Green Plains' potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Green Plains Renewable performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Green Plains Renewable has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (5.07) | Five Day Return (3.80) | Year To Date Return (48.94) | Ten Year Return (81.22) | All Time Return (84.90) |
Dividend Date 2019-06-14 | Ex Dividend Date 2019-05-23 |
1 | Disposition of 1127 shares by Peterson Brian of Green Plains at 19.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/24/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 994 shares by Chris Osowski of Green Plains at 9.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/10/2025 |
3 | Green Plains Nebraska carbon capture project underway as 100 percent rights of way secured | 01/16/2025 |
4 | Green Plains Q4 2024 Earnings Preview | 02/06/2025 |
5 | Green Plains stock plunges to 52-week low at 6.22 - MSN | 02/11/2025 |
6 | Green Plains Inc. Announces Leadership Transition | 02/28/2025 |
7 | This Teleflex Analyst Turns Bearish Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Tuesday | 03/04/2025 |
8 | Bio-alcohol Market Sales to Reach USD 419.75 Billion by 2031 as Demand for Sustainable Fuels Surges Latest Report by Transparency Market Research, Inc. | 03/06/2025 |
9 | Acquisition by Mapes Michelle of 48388 shares of Green Plains at 6.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/10/2025 |
10 | Spotify upgraded, Freshpet downgraded Wall Streets top analyst calls | 03/11/2025 |
11 | Disposition of 1703 shares by Simpkins G Patrich Jr of Green Plains at 5.08 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/13/2025 |
12 | Disposition of 2287 shares by Simpkins G Patrich Jr of Green Plains at 5.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/14/2025 |
13 | Insider Trading | 03/19/2025 |
14 | Disposition of 1280 shares by Chris Osowski of Green Plains at 5.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/21/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 378.8 M |
Green |
Green Plains Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 921.00 in Green Plains Renewable on December 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (415.00) from holding Green Plains Renewable or give up 45.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Green Plains Renewable is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.7657% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Green, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Green Plains Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Green Plains' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Green Plains Renewable, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Green Plains' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1806
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | GPRE |
Estimated Market Risk
| 4.77 actual daily | 42 58% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.86 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.18 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Green Plains is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Green Plains by adding Green Plains to a well-diversified portfolio.
Green Plains Fundamentals Growth
Green Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Green Plains, and Green Plains fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Green Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0871 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0263 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 821.27 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 64.73 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 43.67 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.40 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.46 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 130.45 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 52.38 M | ||||
| Net Income | (81.19 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 533.12 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.18 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 647.19 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.90 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 13.37 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (29.96 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.29) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 327.53 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.78 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (318.3 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 183.34 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 912.58 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 438.67 M | ||||
About Green Plains Performance
By analyzing Green Plains' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Green Plains' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Green Plains has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Green Plains has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 35.65 | 50.44 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.05) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.05) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.10) | (0.09) |
Things to note about Green Plains Renewable performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Plains Renewable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Green Plains generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Green Plains has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (81.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130.45 M. | |
| Green Plains Renewable currently holds about 533.12 M in cash with (29.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing Green Plains' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Green Plains' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Green Plains' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Green Plains' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Green Plains' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Green Plains' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Green Plains' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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