Is Green Plains Stock a Good Investment?
Green Plains Investment Advice | GPRE |
- Examine Green Plains' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Green Plains' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Green Plains navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space and any emerging trends that could impact Green Plains' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Green Plains' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Green Plains is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Green Plains pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Green Plains' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Green Plains Renewable stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Green Plains Renewable is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Examine Green Plains Stock
Researching Green Plains' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Plains Renewable recorded a loss per share of 0.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019.
To determine if Green Plains is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Green Plains' research are outlined below:
| Green Plains generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Green Plains has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (76.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.68 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Green Plains Inc Shares Gap Down to 10.74 on Nov 26 |
Green Plains Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Green Plains uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Green Plains Renewable. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Green Plains' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 7th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Plains' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Green Plains' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006-10-16 | 2006-09-30 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2013-07-30 | 2013-06-30 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 11 | ||
2024-02-07 | 2023-12-31 | 0.15 | 0.12 | -0.03 | 20 | ||
2016-10-31 | 2016-09-30 | 0.23 | 0.2 | -0.03 | 13 | ||
2011-10-26 | 2011-09-30 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.03 | 10 | ||
2018-02-07 | 2017-12-31 | -0.21 | -0.16 | 0.05 | 23 | ||
2012-02-08 | 2011-12-31 | 0.41 | 0.36 | -0.05 | 12 | ||
2011-07-27 | 2011-06-30 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 55 |
Know Green Plains' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Green Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Green Plains Renewable backward and forwards among themselves. Green Plains' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Green Plains' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Kailix Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Squarepoint Ops Llc | 2024-06-30 | 747.2 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 727.3 K | No Street Gp Lp | 2024-09-30 | 699.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 587.4 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 556.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 10.1 M | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2024-09-30 | 5.7 M |
Green Plains' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 689.83 M.Market Cap |
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Green Plains' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.11) |
Determining Green Plains' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Green Plains is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Green Plains' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Green Plains' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Green Plains' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Green Plains' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Green Plains' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Green Plains' management efficiency
The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.05. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.04. At present, Green Plains' Intangibles To Total Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Assets is expected to grow to 0.42, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 923.2 M. Green Plains' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Green Plains manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.83 | 16.78 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 16.08 | 15.86 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 33.77 | 39.03 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.76 | 1.85 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 33.77 | 39.03 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.76 | 1.85 | |
| Enterprise Value | 83.2 M | 47.3 M |
The strategic initiatives led by Green Plains' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Beta 1.528 |
Basic technical analysis of Green Stock
As of the 28th of November, Green Plains retains the Standard Deviation of 3.98, market risk adjusted performance of 2.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06). Green Plains technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Green Plains Renewable mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and potential upside to decide if Green Plains is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 10.82 per share. Given that Green Plains Renewable has information ratio of (0.12), we strongly advise you to confirm Green Plains Renewable's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Green Plains' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Plains insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Plains' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Plains insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Green Plains' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Green Plains issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Green Plains Renewable uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Plains Renewable has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| US393222AK07 Corp BondUS393222AK07 | View |
Understand Green Plains' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Green Plains' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.1 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,178) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.97) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.09 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.47 | |||
| Skewness | (0.03) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4942 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.1 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,178) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.97) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.09 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.47 | |||
| Skewness | (0.03) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4942 |
Consider Green Plains' intraday indicators
Green Plains intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Plains stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Green Plains Corporate Filings
13A | 20th of November 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
8K | 15th of November 2024 An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K | ViewVerify |
F4 | 13th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F3 | 12th of November 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
Green Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Green Plains that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Green media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Green internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Green data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Green Plains news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Green Plains relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Green Plains' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Green Plains alpha.
Green Plains Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Green Plains can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Green Plains Corporate Management
| BS JD | Chief Sec | Profile | |
| George Simpkins | Chief Devel. and Risk Officer | Profile | |
| James Stark | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Leslie Meulen | Executive Innovation | Profile |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Plains Renewable. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.977 | Earnings Share (0.31) | Revenue Per Share 41.372 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Green Plains Renewable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Green Plains' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Green Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.