Fossil Group Stock Analysis

FOSL Stock  USD 1.28  0.08  5.88%   
Fossil Group is undervalued with Real Value of 2.7 and Target Price of 7.0. The main objective of Fossil stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Fossil Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Fossil's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Fossil stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Fossil Stock Analysis Notes

About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fossil Group recorded a loss per share of 2.33. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of April 2004. Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas. Fossil operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6900 people. To learn more about Fossil Group call Franco Fogliato at 972 234 2525 or check out https://www.fossilgroup.com.

Fossil Quarterly Total Revenue

342.3 Million

Fossil Group Investment Alerts

Fossil Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fossil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fossil Group may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 830.68 M.
Latest headline from gearpatrol.com: The 15 Best Dive Watches at Every Budget from Rolex, Omega and More

Fossil Group Upcoming and Recent Events

13th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Fossil Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Fossil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-08-07
2019-06-30-0.05-0.040.0120 
1997-08-12
1997-06-300.070.080.0114 
1997-02-20
1996-12-310.10.110.0110 
View All Earnings Estimates

Fossil Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Fossil stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Sport Products Idea
Sport Products
Sporting goods sport accessories
Consumer Goods Idea
Consumer Goods
USA Equities from Consumer Goods industry as classified by Fama & French

Fossil Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fund 1 Investments Llc2024-12-31
388.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
358.3 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
330.7 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
323.3 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
312.7 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
270.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
269.3 K
Rbf Llc2024-12-31
214.8 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-12-31
212.9 K
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.3 M
Patient Capital Management2024-12-31
2.6 M
Note, although Fossil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Fossil Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 63.83 M.

Fossil Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.1) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.06) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.06.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.11)(0.10)

Management Efficiency

Fossil Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0419) % which means that it has lost $0.0419 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5604) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Fossil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Fossil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.04 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.02 this year. At this time, Fossil's Debt To Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 10.67 this year, although the value of Other Current Assets will most likely fall to about 79.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 7.77  7.18 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 6.69  5.46 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 19.14  20.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.55  0.53 
Enterprise Value Multiple 19.14  20.10 
Price Fair Value 0.55  0.53 
Enterprise Value165.2 M156.9 M
Leadership at Fossil emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Operating Margin
(0.06)
Profit Margin
(0.10)
Beta
2.194
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.56)

Technical Drivers

As of the 21st of March, Fossil shows the Standard Deviation of 5.93, variance of 35.12, and Mean Deviation of 4.03. Fossil Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Fossil Group market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Fossil Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.28 per share. Given that Fossil is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its jensen alpha.

Fossil Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Fossil middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Fossil Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Fossil Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Fossil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Fossil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Fossil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Fossil Outstanding Bonds

Fossil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Fossil Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Fossil bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Fossil Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Fossil Predictive Daily Indicators

Fossil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Fossil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Fossil Forecast Models

Fossil's time-series forecasting models are one of many Fossil's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fossil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Fossil Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Fossil prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Fossil. By using and applying Fossil Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Fossil entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.02)
Gross Profit Margin 0.49  0.41 

Current Fossil Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Fossil analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Fossil analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
7.0Strong Sell0Odds
Fossil Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Fossil analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Fossil stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Fossil Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Fossil conference calls.
Fossil Analyst Advice Details

Fossil Stock Analysis Indicators

Fossil Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Fossil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Fossil stock analysis, traders can identify Fossil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow121.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity148.7 M
Capital Lease Obligations151 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net163 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.6 M
Net Invested Capital313.5 M
Cash123.6 M
50 Day M A1.188
Net Interest Income-14.6 M
Total Current Liabilities326.6 M
InvestmentsM
Interest Expense19 M
Stock Based Compensation2.9 M
Long Term Debt162.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53 M
Tax Provision-11.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.817
Free Cash Flow39.9 M
Other Current Assets90.2 M
Accounts Payable157.6 M
Net Debt192.2 M
Other Operating Expenses1.2 B
Non Current Assets Total209.1 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity763.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other-554.5 M
When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(2.33)
Revenue Per Share
23.195
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.