Is Fossil Stock a Good Investment?

Fossil Investment Advice

FOSL

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Fossil Group stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Fossil Group. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Fossil in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Fossil's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Fossil's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Fossil navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space and any emerging trends that could impact Fossil's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Fossil's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Fossil is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Fossil pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Fossil's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Fossil Group stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Fossil Group is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Cautious Hold

We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Fossil Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Fossil is not overpriced, please confirm all Fossil Group fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Fossil is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its price to earning.

Market Performance	Very Weak	Details
Volatility	Very risky	Details
Hype Condition	Under hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Undervalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Below Average	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Follows the market closely	Details
Investor Sentiment	Impartial	Details
Analyst Consensus	Strong Sell	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Healthy	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine Fossil Stock

Researching Fossil's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fossil Group recorded a loss per share of 2.33. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of April 2004.

To determine if Fossil is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Fossil's research are outlined below:

	Fossil Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Fossil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
	Fossil Group may become a speculative penny stock
	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 830.68 M.
	Latest headline from gearpatrol.com: The 15 Best Dive Watches at Every Budget from Rolex, Omega and More

Fossil uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Fossil Group. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Fossil's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	13th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Fossil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Fossil's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2019-08-07	2019-06-30	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	20
1997-08-12	1997-06-30	0.07	0.08	0.01	14
1997-02-20	1996-12-31	0.1	0.11	0.01	10
1996-11-06	1996-09-30	0.08	0.09	0.01	12
1996-08-06	1996-06-30	0.07	0.06	-0.01	14
1996-05-07	1996-03-31	0.04	0.05	0.01	25
1996-02-19	1995-12-31	0.08	0.09	0.01	12
2007-08-14	2007-06-30	0.19	0.21	0.02	10

Know Fossil's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Fossil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fossil Group backward and forwards among themselves. Fossil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Fossil's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Fund 1 Investments Llc	2024-12-31	388.5 K
Amvescap Plc.	2024-12-31	358.3 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc	2024-12-31	330.7 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc	2024-12-31	323.3 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp	2024-12-31	312.7 K
Citadel Advisors Llc	2024-12-31	270.3 K
Millennium Management Llc	2024-12-31	269.3 K
Rbf Llc	2024-12-31	214.8 K
Simplex Trading, Llc	2024-12-31	212.9 K
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc	2024-12-31	3.3 M
Patient Capital Management	2024-12-31	2.6 M

Note, although Fossil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Fossil's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 63.83 M.

Market Cap

371.08 Million

Fossil's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.04)	(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.02)	(0.02)
Return On Assets	(0.04)	(0.03)
Return On Equity	(0.11)	(0.10)

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.1) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.06) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.06.

Determining Fossil's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Fossil is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Fossil's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Fossil's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Fossil's management efficiency

Fossil Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0419) % which means that it has lost $0.0419 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5604) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Fossil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Fossil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.04 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.02 this year. At this time, Fossil's Debt To Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 10.67 this year, although the value of Other Current Assets will most likely fall to about 79.3 M.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	7.77	7.18
Tangible Book Value Per Share	6.69	5.46
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	19.14	20.10
Price Book Value Ratio	0.55	0.53
Enterprise Value Multiple	19.14	20.10
Price Fair Value	0.55	0.53
Enterprise Value	165.2 M	156.9 M

Leadership at Fossil emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.

Beta

2.194

Basic technical analysis of Fossil Stock

As of the 21st of March, Fossil shows the Mean Deviation of 4.03, standard deviation of 5.93, and Variance of 35.12. Fossil Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Fossil Group market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Fossil Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.28 per share. Given that Fossil is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its jensen alpha.

Fossil's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Fossil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Fossil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Fossil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Sunil Doshi over three months ago Acquisition by Sunil Doshi of 24519 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3
		Gregory McKelvey over six months ago Disposition of 20675 shares by Gregory McKelvey of Fossil at 3.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Rey Marc over six months ago Acquisition by Rey Marc of 9811 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3
		Melissa Lowenkron over six months ago Disposition of 4647 shares by Melissa Lowenkron of Fossil at 88.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Corrie Pamela B over six months ago Disposition of tradable shares by Corrie Pamela B of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3

Fossil's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Fossil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Fossil Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Fossil bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Fossil Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

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View All Fossil Corporate Bonds

Understand Fossil's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Fossil's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.05)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.78)
	Mean Deviation	4.03
	Coefficient Of Variation	(1,420)
	Standard Deviation	5.93
	Variance	35.12
	Information Ratio	(0.06)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.39)
	Total Risk Alpha	0.056
	Treynor Ratio	(0.79)
	Maximum Drawdown	37.53
	Value At Risk	(8.39)
	Potential Upside	6.79
	Skewness	1.9
	Kurtosis	8.6

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.05)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.78)
	Mean Deviation	4.03
	Coefficient Of Variation	(1,420)
	Standard Deviation	5.93
	Variance	35.12
	Information Ratio	(0.06)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.39)
	Total Risk Alpha	0.056
	Treynor Ratio	(0.79)
	Maximum Drawdown	37.53
	Value At Risk	(8.39)
	Potential Upside	6.79
	Skewness	1.9
	Kurtosis	8.6

Consider Fossil's intraday indicators

Fossil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Fossil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0662
	Daily Balance Of Power	(0.89)
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.94
	Day Median Price	1.32
	Day Typical Price	1.3
	Market Facilitation Index	0.09
	Price Action Indicator	(0.07)
	Period Momentum Indicator	(0.08)
	Relative Strength Index	45.14

Fossil time-series forecasting models is one of many Fossil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fossil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Fossil Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Fossil that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Fossil media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Fossil internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Fossil data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Fossil news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Fossil relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Fossil's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Fossil alpha.

Fossil Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Fossil can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Fossil Corporate Management

Andrew Skobe	Interim Officer	Profile
Holly Briedis	Executive Officer	Profile
Kosta Kartsotis	Executive Officer	Profile
James Webb	Chief Officer	Profile
Joe Martin	Chief Officer	Profile

When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports: